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Would this be Wake’s first non-home win of the season??
They somehow managed to win @ Richmond.
I can do that
That would be awesome!
All your base are belong to PPF.
Since it’s “CATS” in that image, we should totally photoshop Barber into the image and change it to say “All your wins are belong to us”
Thank you Seth Greenberg for talking some sanity and reality when it comes to the Cheats.
It’s been absolutely stunning listening to the talk of the Cheats just magically reaching the finals going through BC, Louisville, and Virginia. Miami has shown more potential than the Cheats. At least Miami has shown the ability to beat a top 5 team … the Cheats have a lonely one-point home win over Louisville (who can barely score), that’s it. Aside from the Louisville win and a fluky road win @ State when the Pack didn’t know what they were and Paige played above his season, every other game against good to top competition has been an “L”.
Please BC, end the BS tomorrow and spare us all from hearing more about ‘Cheats magic!’ and Willis Reed moments from Paige and Kennedy Meeks. Vomit, vomit, vomit.
Yeah, same – nappy time. Impossible not to feel bad for GT.
BC has a much better chance of giving the Cheats a game though … Hope Hanlan rips them a new one.
Thanks for the recaps!
I only saw bits and pieces of Friday’s game, which obviously wasn’t the best look with all the unearned runs. Glad the Pack rebounded strongly on Sat. and Sun.
The media picks of a Cheats-Duke tourney final are already rolling in. Could happen, but seems more like wishful ‘BLUES!’ thinking to me.
Just gonna hand-wave the Cheats inability to beat anyone in the top 25? How ‘meh’ they were down the stretch – and really how ‘meh’ they are? Conveniently forget that UVa owned the Cheats in the Cheat Dome? I mean really, when does reality set in and ‘you are what your record says you are’ take hold for the Cheats? Ohh that’s right, they’re built on fraud – so they’ll just magically make the finals because reasons.
Like who?
With respect to at-large, Buffalo at 32 would not be selected. Old Dominion at 36 would most likely not be selected if the picks were made today.
Hahahaha – if you couldn’t make fun of me, who would we make fun of?! 🙂
Very interested in where ND and the Cheats wind up as well. No telling what impact their respective conference tourney results will have … that’s part of the intrigue. If the selections were made today, I’d have a hard time seeing the Cheats above the 5-line. Schedule was great, but victories at the very top were more than scarce.
I’d love to see if ND winds up on the 3 or 4-line. Taking a last look at this resume, I could see 3-line. That said, the non-con schedule was ridiculous and they could easily be penalized a seed line for it.
Miami is a very interesting profile. 7 top 100 victories – two of them really good (Duke and State) – but a bad non-con schedule and 4 100+ losses. I think Miami possibly needs more than just a win over ND in the quarters. Of course, other bubble teams are not exactly strong, so who really knows.
Good preview!
“Enjoy the Geneva Convention violation that is this Wednesday mash-up. They should have a tractor pull at halftime.”
^Hahahahalollllllers. Better yet, just have Brownell and Hamilton in a good ol’ fashioned mud wrasslin’ contest to determine the winner. A win for everybody … maybe. Or perhaps just a two hour debate on the finer points of clutch-and-hold basketball, and how it really is good for the game.
Hope BC gets by Georgia Tech. I think the Eagles could really make a Wed. match-up w/ the Cheats fun to watch and possibly interesting. The Cheats are the worst match-up in the league for poor Georgia Tech, as evidenced by the 4-billion point beatdowns the Jackets received in each Cheat contest.
I meant of the teams that make it, take their RPI and divide by 4. MoE of 1 spot. I realize it is simplistic but i am confident in it.
Oh ok, cool. Like Texpack implied, the MoE you’re using is a fairly accurate way to gauge.
I think our quality wins and SOS will get us seeded above where our RPI would seed us, but 7 would be 2.5-3.0 lines.
^I agree. I don’t think State’s there just yet, but I’m not entirely sold on State having to beat Pitt and also Duke to get to that line. Being on the 8-9 line would most likely be the way it would play out though.
Projecting our seed: it really is as simple as taking our final RPI (prior to selection Sunday) and dividing by 4… it’s that easy.
I suppose that’s a way to guess but it’s not accurate at all.
There is a lot of subjectivity involved. There are some teams ahead of State in the RPI rankings that will not even make the field. If RPI/4 = seed that would be a mess. RPI is just a metric, nothing more.
I also want a chance to give the golden domers what they should rightfully have gotten the first go ’round.
OMG yes
I’m talking a kid into watching!
When I’m working from home and can’t find anything at all to have on in the background, I’ll often put ‘Survive and Advance’ on Netflix on and just let it play 🙂 … I gotta have my background noise!
Since the Pepperdine game was on a Friday, my dad let me stay up with him and watch it until 2 in the morning … will never, ever forget it.
My mom made me go to bed for the Utah Sweet 16 game for some reason … I was so mad hahaha
I’m not exactly an optimist, but I’m not exactly a pessimist, either 🙂
I have to disagree with the Premier here … I don’t think the team is emotionally drained. I think they’ll be ready and will be loaded for bear. They have just recently truly discovered what they are capable of. As disgusting as it was, in hindsight I’m kinda/sorta thankful for the BC game … that was the physical/emotional/any other kind of drained game. That’s not to suggest Pitt couldn’t play out of their minds and win the game, but I really like State’s chances, especially if they’re focused.
Also agree that Duke is still on the 1-line even with a loss to State in the quarters. They (edit!) could fall off the 1-line with a loss to Pitt in the quarters.
If we make the conference tourney finals we are a lock for a #7 or higher.
We’re closer to the 7-line now than many are guessing. If it was selected today, I’d say 8-line … tons of good wins, but a lot of losses. Beat Pitt, and we may get on the 7-line regardless of what happens against Duke.
There are 32 auto-qualifiers of 68 teams now, and 36 at-large bids.
For the sake of argument, let’s establish some definitions and assumptions about how the field is seeded. This isn’t exactly how it works, but it’s close enough to accurate to make some points:
– The 13-16 lines are typically populated by low-major auto-qualifiers and those lines constitute 18 teams now with the field moving to 68 teams and four 16-seeds facing off in a play-in format (the other two 16 seeds are slotted in the round of 64).
– The 10-12 lines are typically the true ‘bubble’ teams – just in the field. This is 14 teams with an additional 11-seed and 12-seed. The bottom two 11-seeds face off in a play-in game, and the bottom two 12-seeds have a play-in game. Of the 36 at-large selections, these are rankings 23-36.
The question to ask is “Where does State’s resume/profile rank among the 36 at-large teams?”. Is it in the bottom 14? If so, the seeding will range from the 10 to 12-lines.
Anything above the bottom 14 at-large profiles normally means a 9-seed or better. Using the above definitions and assumptions, rankings 19-22 constitute the 9-line. Rankings 15-18 constitute the 8-line, and rankings 11-14 constitute the 7-line.
So, does State’s profile rank among the top 14 of the 36 at-large selections? If so, a 7-seed or higher is likely.
Keep in mind that the conference tourneys have a big impact on where auto-qualifiers and at-larges are seeded – so it will almost never work out as neatly as the assumptions made above do. The key is “Where does State rank among the 36 at-larges?” Right now, State’s profile blows a lot of others who are being considered straight out of the water. The key wins that State possesses are hard to duplicate even at the top of the 36 at-large selections. So, this is my long-winded way of saying ‘State is a lot closer to the 7-line than appears’ :).
Also, there’s a reasonable chance that State could win the ACC tournament. What is State’s ceiling for seeding? It could be as high as the 4 or 5-line … A few years ago, Asshole Williams and Maryland entered the ACC tournament on the bubble. After beating the 3-seed, and then 2-seed State (thanks Larry Rose) and 1-seed Duke on the way to the ACC title Maryland captured a 4-seed in the NCAA tournament that season. Things can and will vary wildly this coming week.
Somebody else mentioned it earlier, but I think the sheeple are trying to ride it out until the NCAA implodes.
If it’s going to be another 8-year investigation then it’s probably a very viable strategy. A shame. They truly deserve punishment. At least their fraudulent persona got exposed for the massive bucket of BS that it is.
Beautiful day for a baseball game, that’s for sure …
UNI comes back to win the MVC title, helping bubble squads breathe slightly easier. North Florida clinches from the A-Sun.
Previous Pack opponent Hofstra heading to double OT against 1-seed William & Mary in the CAA semis … on NBCSportsChannel for anyone interested.
Tulsa @ SMU tight late … I don’t think Tulsa really merits an at-large, but this one is a must for any real discussion.
