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Today’s matchup against Cincy is WVU part Deux with a few differences:
1. Cincinnati’s Offense is prone to turning the ball over.
2. Cincinnati’s Defense is much better at keeping their opponents to low fg% inside the arc than WVU.
3. Cincinnati’s Defense is decent at forcing TO’s but nothing like WVU.
4. Cincinnati’s Defense is good about not sending their opponents to the FT line often unlike WVU who does it constantly.While Cincinnati plays tough defense they aren’t stupid about senseless fouling. As a result I think this plays into NC State’s favor, they won’t force TO’s which has hurt the Pack and won’t send the Pack to the FT line where they have trouble.
If the Pack is looking for someone to draw a foul from that’s Freshman Guard Deshaun Morman (#1) who has an astounding 28% possessions but draws 7 fouls/40 minutes.
Players to be aware of are #11 FR SF Gary Clark & #2 JR Octavius Ellis. Both are efficient shooters and rebounders on both ends. Ellis is great at blocking shots and getting to the FT line (though not very good at shooting them) but is a little TO prone.
Taking a look at the Probability of winning this week is at least encouraging from a percentage standpoint: vs. Cincinnati 66%, vs. Pitt 67%. Looking at the probability to win before the game starts and the results we have the following over the last 5 years plus the current one. (KenPom: + = >50% probability to win before the game, – = <50%)
2015
+ 10-1 [0.909] (Wofford)
– 0-2 [0.000]
Total (-1+0) = -12014
+ 14-3 [0.824] (NCCU, Missouri, Miami)
– 8-11 [0.421] (Tennessee, Notre Dame, FSU, Miami, Pitt, Miami, Syracuse, Xavier)
Total (-3+8) = +52013
+ 22-4 [0.846] (Oklahoma State, Wake Forest, FSU, Temple)
– 2-7 [0.222] (Duke, UVA)
Total (-4+2) = -22012
+ 18-2 [0.900] (Georgia Tech, FSU)
– 6-11 [0.353] (Texas, St. Bonaventure, Miami, VT, UVA, Georgetown)
Total (-2+6) = +42011
+ 13-0 [1.000]
– 2-16 [0.111] (George Mason, Clemson)
Total (0+2) = +22010
+ 13-5 [0.722] (Northwestern, Florida, UVA, UNC, VT)
– 7-11 [0.389] (Marquette, FSU, Duke, Miami, Clemson, FSU, South Florida)
Total (-5+7) = +2With Back to Back to Back games against @UVA, Duke, and UNC following the Pitt game it’s critical for State to win both games this week.
2015 Schedule (2014 Results)
9/05 Troy (3-9)
9/19 at Old Dominion (6-6)
9/26 at South Alabama (6-6)
Eastern Kentucky (FCS)at FSU (13-0 + Playoffs)
Clemson (9-3 + Bowl)
Louisville (9-3 + Bowl)at BC (7-5 + Bowl)
at VT (6-6 + Bowl)
UNC (6-7)Syracuse (3-9)
at WFU (3-9)winnable games on the schedule if the pack can pick up where they left off but new season means new team.
I TRUST OUR HANDS TEAM
/pleaz don’t fuck this one up
we know it’s not our receivers then
wide hole in the middle
*giggle*
Thought that one was going to go completely unnoticed.
We’re still a very young team that is developing chemistry and learning to understand what the coaching staff is attempting to accomplish.
Can you explain to me what they are trying to accomplish because I’d really like to know.
Turn it too CBSSN and you can watch one of our future coaches right now or in 45 minutes. Archie is beating the Jackets
For those not seeing or hearing, Pack just took the lead finally.
Is now 64-60 with under 4 to go.
You’re about a minute ahead of my feed, stop that!!!
