Preliminary Release of NCAA Seeds

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  • #117227
    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    In a bizarre attempt to match the stupidity (or maybe futility) of releasing preliminary football playoff rankings, the NCAAT Selection Committee released a preliminary version of the top 16 teams (top 4 seeds) if the March Madness selection process were held today.
    [See the full post at: Preliminary Release of NCAA Seeds]

    #117229
    McCallum
    Participant

    Did State make the Central Tar Heel 1A tourney?

    McCallum

    #117233
    Wulfpack
    Participant

    What stands out to me is Gonzaga, FSU and Butler.

    #117249
    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    What stands out about those three?

    #117251
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    Artificially inflating the west coast teams. Again. The first half of UCLA/OR sure didn’t impress me at all.

    #117252
    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    At one time, the Dance Card had a P12 factor to account for some strange decisions made by the selection committee. They discussed this briefly in the paper they published (linked in my Dance Card entry). Previously, they had concluded that the selection committee was biased against mid-majors.

    But they say in the current paper that they didn’t find statiscal support for conference bias since ~2012. But I’m pretty sure UCLA got in just a couple of years ago for no obvious reasons.

    #117254
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    ^ It just sounds like something Jim Nantz would say, doesn’t it – “The NCAAT is just better with UCLA in it.” BARF

    #117262
    Wulfpack
    Participant

    What stands out about those three?

    Just that they are so highly regarded.

    #117266
    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    Of those 3, I have only seen FSU play. They’re seeded according to the RPI rank and they are 8-2 against the Top 50. Their struggles on the road against lesser teams make me doubt that they will go very far in a tournament format.

    Butler is placed two seeds below what their RPI rank would predict. So it doesn’t look like the committee is super-impressed either. They likely have little/no margin for error.

    Gonzaga gets the socialistic #1 seed to match their undefeated record. At least they backed up the committee’s confidence in them with a road-victory yesterday against St Mary’s..the toughest game left on their regular season schedule. So if they win out, they’ll have a #1 seed. The interesting question would be where do they drop if they stumble?

    #117267
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    Think they’d drop Gonzaga all the way down to a 4. 3 at bare minimum.

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