NC STATE at MIAMI Preview

Time: 2:00 pm
TV: RSN (FOX Sports South)
Announcers: Wes Durham, Dave Odom

Jim Larranaga doesn’t have the horses that he had last year to keep up the offensive pace but once again he has a strong defense. The strange thing about his defense this year is he’s switched from 40 years of man-to-man defense to pure zone defense. So what’s this team like, zero offense, strong defense, and slow as molasses. Strike that, molasses is warp speed compared to Miami. This team is so slow they are currently ranked DFL in tempo. That’s right folks, they are 351 out of 351 teams in the country. I’m just trying to prepare you in case you need medical attention after watching this game. If anyone watched the Miami/Pitt game then you know what I’m talking about.

Last Time Out:

CORAL GABLES, Fla. (AP) – Miami held ACC opponent Pitt to 33 percent shooting from the floor, but came up short in OT against the nation’s 25/22 ranked team, 59-55.

Lamar Patterson scored 25 points to help Pittsburgh end a two-game losing streak.

Cameron Wright added 12 points and Talib Zanna had 10 for Pittsburgh (19-4, 7-3 Atlantic Coast Conference).

Rion Brown had 21 points for Miami (11-11, 2-7).

Patterson made one of two free throws with 10.6 seconds left to give the Panthers a 57-55 lead. Brown’s pass as he drove toward the basket was intercepted by Patterson, who made two free throws to seal the victory.

Patterson made a layup with 13.1 seconds left in regulation to give Pittsburgh a one-point lead, but Manu Lecomte of Miami made the second of two free throws with 7 seconds left to tie the game at 46.

Probable Starters:

#15 Rion Brown (6-6 211 SR) Guard – Brown is the most dangerous member on this team. He pulls the most minutes, possessions, shots, and 3FGA on the team, just a hair behind Kirk for most 2FG, as well as their best FT shooter, all while sporting an ORtg of 114.5. Probably best to key in and stick Lee on him like glue.
#25 Garrius Adams (6-6 200 SR) Guard – Talk about a tall guard. Adams missed basically two years with injuries, including medical hardship waiver in 2012-13 after knee surgery. He’s back logging major minutes and possessions but he isn’t shooting the ball very well and this has a sub-100 ORtg of 92. He’s never been a great shooter, his 2fg% and 3fg% are down while his FT% is up 10 pts to 65%. Adams is splitting his time playing SF, SG, and PG. Mr. Versatility.
#22 Donnavan Kirk (6-9 228 SR) Forward – Kirk spent the last 2 years at Depaul before transferring to Miami for his senior season. His increased minutes and possessions haven’t hurt his shooting but he is struggling from the line compared to his previous years (which means he’ll shoot 100% against State). Kirk is great at rebounding, especially offensively which plays right into Gottfried’s game plan of giving teams as many chances at shooting the ball as they need to score or get the Pack’s players into foul trouble. Oh and Kirk is a top notch shot blocker.
#20 Manu Lecomte (5-9 159 FR) Point Guard – Finally, someone Tyler Lewis can look in the eye. Manu (Manu) is getting a lot of playing time his freshman year and doing okay with his workload, 102 ORtg. His high Assist Rate (20) is only beaten by his high TO Rate (22.6).
#23 Tonye Jekiri (7-0 235 SO) Center – Yes, another battle of foreign seven footers!!!! Well for half the game at least. See both Jekiri and Vandenburg only play about half the game, usually due to foul trouble for both of them. Jekiri isn’t much of a scorer but he grabs rebounds and blocks shots.

Bench
#5 Davon Reed (6-6 208 FR), #35 James Kelly (6-7 246 JR), #21 Erik Swoope (6-5 220 SR), #4 Raphael Akejiori (6-9 241 SR)

Reed helps out at PG but isn’t as good as Lecomte, he doesn’t distribute the ball as well, has a high turnover rate, and doesn’t shoot the ball very well. Kelly is a JUCO transfer and has missed recent games at Maryland and home against Norfolk State due to the dreaded lower extremity injury and only played one minute of the Pitt game. Normally Kelly is a good rebounder and shooter so who knows if he even plays against State or how effective he’ll be. Swoope provides solid minutes though he doesn’t contribute much in the scoring department, like most of the team.

SERIES NOTES:
• Miami is 5-9 in the all-time series against NC State, which dates back to the 1939-40 season. The Canes are 3-3 against the Wolfpack at home, 1-0 at neutral sites and 1-6 on the road. Miami won the last matchup against NC State, defeating the Wolfpack, 79-78, on Feb. 2, 2013 in Raleigh.
• Miami swept the Pack last year winning by 1 in Raleigh and by 10 in the ACCT.
• Miami vs. NC State:
– Since joining the ACC in 2004-05: 6-8
– Since the arrival of Jim Larrañaga in 2011-12: 2-2

Magic Number: 65
• NC State is 14-3 when they score 65 or more points.
• Miami is 7-1 when they score 65 or more points.

Interesting Stuff:
• Miami is the only ACC team with zero returning starters. Additionally, Miami lost its six top players, who started 174 combined games. Rion Brown is the only Hurricane to start any games (6) last season, so the Canes return 6-of-180 starts, which is 3.3 percent.

• Two transfers joined the Canes this season in James Kelly, who averaged 17.9 ppg and 10.0 rpg in two JC seasons and Donnavan Kirk, who played 54 games for DePaul the past two seasons, leading the team in blocked shots.

• After playing man-to-man defense 95 percent of the time in his first 40 years of coaching, Jim Larrañaga’s team is now playing zone 95 percent of the game.

With the zone, Miami has held 14 of its last 15 opponents to less than 70 points, and only three teams overall this season have scored more than 70 points on the Canes: 80-Georgia Southern, 71-George Washington, 74-Maryland. Prior to the game vs. Florida State, UM held five-straight opponents to fewer than 60 points.

In seven of the last eight conference games, Miami has held Syracuse (twice), North Carolina, Florida State, Georgia Tech and Duke considerably below their offensive season scoring averages. Those seven teams entered the game with the Canes averaging a combined 75.6 points per game, but have been held to an average of 57.3 ppg.

• Senior Rion Brown scored 21 points against Pittsburgh, scoring five of Miami’s nine OT points, and six points in the final four minutes of regulation.

In his last three games, Brown has notched 20.3 ppg, hitting 48.6% FG and 41.7% 3FG. Brown averages 14.3 ppg in ACC play, hitting 45.0% from the field and 41.2 % from long range.

• Three players are redshirting this season: Freshman guard Deandre Burnett (left wrist injury), Junior Guard Sheldon McClellan (transfer from Texas), and Angel Rodriguez (transfer from Kansas State).

Who Has the Advantage?

Here’s the good news, we don’t have to suffer watching State miss FT’s thanks to the Canes not sending them to the line.

Everyone just needs to look away whenever Miami has the ball, seriously, Pack fans have suffered enough already.

Predictor:
KenPom and Vegas like Miami by 4.

I predict you’ll be clawing your eyes out, if you haven’t already fallen asleep in the first 10 minutes. Can NC State beat a zone defense the entire game? I’m still not sold and going with Miami.

About 1.21 Jigawatts

Class of '98, Mechanical Engineer, State fan since arriving on campus and it's been a painful ride ever since. I live by the Law of NC State Fandom, "For every Elation there is an equal and opposite Frustration."

13-14 Basketball

Home Forums NC STATE at MIAMI Preview

Viewing 15 posts - 226 through 240 (of 240 total)
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  • #40209
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    Yeah, Cuse is gonna rape us. Sans lube. Nobody expects, or even hopes for better than that. It’s about getting to 7-6 despite that, so we have a good shot at 9-9, and a fighting chance for better.

    I still have no earthly idea how we won, other than the Karma thing from last year (when we did truly play as well as humanly possible and still lost).

    #40210
    Wolfanatic
    Participant

    I’ll happily take the win, albeit ugly , it still beats a loss. And in a couple of months I’ll have forgotten just how ugly..Move on..Is this team the prettiest girl at the prom? Not by a long shot, but she might be next year, or the year after. She does have potential..

    Now, on another angle, for those that figure the refs have it in for State, then why for God’s sake did they not call a foul on Washington on Brown’s last shot of the game? He crushed Brown. You have to wonder what was going through his freshman brain by even getting within 5 feet of Brown..3 shots to make 2….Guess the refs didn’t want to go back to the monitor for another 7 minutes…

    #40211
    packalum44
    Participant

    Mark G Quote:

    “… we lost a ton from last year… I’m proud of our group for continuing to improve.”

    Are we improving though? I haven’t seen visible improvement. We lost close games in the beginning of the season. We have since won a few close games. Murphy’s law states that 50/50 games will average out.

    Beside 2 of 9 players, all are 4 and 5 start recruits. How many teams can say that?

    Not seen improvement G. Please hire Harrick and just go recruit.

    #40213
    choppack1
    Participant

    I didn’t watch one second of this game. It was bad enough listening on the radio. However, there is no such thing as a bad conference road win. The team gutted it out.

    Watching duke play BC and I swear they look about as bad on d as we do.

    #40214
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    This is NOT a great defensive Duke team. Cuse putting up so many already showed that, clearly.

    They can be remarkable offensively…as putting up so many at Cuse showed.

    #40215
    choppack1
    Participant

    Well they CAN shoot…if you can hit from the outside you can put up points vs. The cuse. If you can d up and keep them off the boards you can also keep it close…course we can’t do any of that.

    #40216
    Gowolves
    Participant

    I just don’t understand the blasting of this team. This is a young team and they are scrapping through the season the best they can. I had no expectations to win the regular season or get a birth to the dance. If everything came together then they had a small chance. This team has battled and they got blown out a few times. Not completely unexpected. They still have small chance to make the dance. If they don’t will not mean a disappointment for me as long as they continue to fight. Don’t forget this team was predicted 12 in the ACC. Next year I have a feeling the pack will be even better and the wagon will fill up again.

    #40217
    choppack1
    Participant

    Go wolves – I think this team is doing everything gott is asking them to do…just like the last 2 years.

    However, I will be impressed if gott can get them to the NCAA tournament.

    #40218
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    It’s a weird team – I’m not really impressed, or unimpressed.

    #40219
    13OT
    Participant

    My only concern right now about this team is that the big men seem to be going in the wrong direction after doing so well earlier in the season. They were a disaster vs UNC, and weren’t much better this afternoon.

    But it’s a win for a team hoping to be no worse than number 9 by season’s end. I guess I could live with that.

    #40220
    PackFamily
    Participant

    They are a little hard to watch but I think our guys are overachieving at this point. I we finish at .500 that will be above expectations. We can still get to 10 wins with our remaining schedule. If we do and make the dance I will be impressed with Gott this year.

    #40221
    Gowolves
    Participant

    Again the youth is showing through with the inconsistency of their play. You have to expect the up and down play. We have seen it from game to game and within a game. For a team that is this young they have been pretty consistent with the “W” lately excluding the Tarholes game. The ACC is weak but damn they are .500 right now with a lot of chances left. Complaining for a new coach much less a freaking scumbag that Harrick is baffles me. I have to believe that was joking in some silly type of humor. All of the front line has shown some great talent. Give them another year in the system and who knows how good they can be.

    As far as this year goes I still think they can make the NCAA. It won’t be easy or given to them, but if they fight they can do it.

    #40222
    Wulfpack
    Participant

    We were actually picked to finish 10th in the conference and we are currently 8th. So not a bad job thus far. Still a ways to go and a bad stretch and we can easily fall back. I thought coming in best case scenario is the bubble, and that looks to be the case. We’ve got to get a marquee win, though. FSU has fallen way off the radar and is no longer relevant. Pitt also not looking too good, but they are certainly tourney bound. Perhaps we can trip Cuse up, who knows. And boy is UVA balling.

    #40223
    Texpack
    Participant

    The injury has really slowed down Anya. Before that you could see progress. Freeman has hit the wall but for a kid who just turned 18 in December he has contributed a lot. He is going to be excellent in this offense if his 15 ft jumper develops. Washington looked to be making a move up on offense but has taken a step back. I think they will all improve because they all bust it full time. Howell just out worked people and I can see both Freeman and Washington being that good. Both are better than Howell was as a freshman.

    Two and a half years in I think it’s fair to say that Gott’s teams will:
    Play hard
    Hang together
    Rebound on the offensive end a lot better than the defensive end
    Be very good on the break
    Be in the bottom 2/3 of the ACC in defense and likely the bottom half
    Not shoot 3’s well

    If he ever puts together a group that does shoot threes well they will go a long way

    I admire the grit this team shows. They have a lot of flaws and talent gaps but they rarely tuck their tails.

    #40230
    choppack1
    Participant

    Rarely tuck their tales? I am not sure what you call performances vs. Duke and UVa and unc and in 2nd half vs. Pitt.

    Aside from that though, I think your post is spot on. I would add that I would expect to see low iq basketball.

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