NC STATE vs MARYLAND Preview (Updated – TJ Warren out)

Game Time: 9:00 pm
TV: ESPNU
Announcers: Mike Patrick, LaPhonso Ellis

So much for never repeating the beating from UVA…I have a feeling Duke won’t be the last this season. Look, we all see it, this team just isn’t very good on offense and they are even worse on defense but if the Pack doesn’t want to go ahead and flush this season right now then they must do something during this 3-game home stand and it begins against an average Maryland team. If the Pack doesn’t win at least 2 of the next 3 then February will be a long month with 5 of 7 on the road.

There is nothing special about this Maryland team except one thing…Rebounding. These guys limit second chance opportunities for their opponents and maximize their own on offense. What does that equate to?? A whole lot of pain for the Pack.

Projected Starters:

#4 Seth Allen (6-1 190 SO) Guard – Allen doesn’t do a lot of scoring but has a quality ORtg at 113. His strength is running the offense and finding the open man.
#32 Dez Wells (6-5 215 JR) Guard – Maryland’s do everything guard who may not have spectacular numbers they aren’t anything to sneeze at either. Bad matchup problem #1.
#10 Jake Layman (6-8 205 SO) Forward – A 3pt shooting forward who’s good at it (.388) but is also good inside the arc (.462). Bad matchup problem #2 here.
#1 Evan Smotrycz (6-8 230 JR) Forward – See Jake Layman, matchup problem #3.
#44 Shaquille Cleare (6-9 265 SO) Forward – He hasn’t done much this year with only 13% of the team’s possessions but does a good job with what his does. So we all know Shaq will be the unknown player with a career game against the Pack.

As this season moves on we see more and more the Pack on offense has lost it advantages, this is a result of a High Post Offense that isn’t run through the High Post and a bunch of guards who can’t shoot the ball. We all know the Pack can’t make 3’s so their entire offense is generated around the basket and relies heavily on offensive rebounding and second chance points (ahem…Buckets). Maryland will limit this and thus limit the Pack on offense. Be prepared to see the TO advantage begin to slip away until the Pack learns to control the ball better, especially when it’s at the top of the key and an easy transition basket for the opposition.

The Pack is pretty good at defending the 2, that’s not their problem, their problem is their weak defensive rebounding and allowing multiple chances for the opposition most trips down the floor and with this Maryland team that’s a recipe for disaster. The Pack’s 3 pt defense is anything but Herculean, it should be Casper, because they are so non-existent that no one is ever around the oppositions shooters.

PREDICTOR

KenPom thinks the Pack wins this one by 1. Because this is the Twerps, anything crazy can and will happen so I’m picking against the Pack.

NEWS STUFF

Joe Giglio (N&O)
Reeling Wolfpack needs quick turnaround

The Wolfpack’s biggest problems have been on defense. It gave up 48 points in the second half to Pitt, 48 in the first half to Virginia and 50 in the second half to Duke.

N.C. State showed some promise on defense in the first half at Duke Saturday. Sophomore forward T.J. Warren blocked a 3-point attempt by Rasheed Sulaimon about five minutes into the first half at the top of the key and turned the defensive play into a transition basket.

Later in the first half, freshman forward Kyle Washington rejected a dunk attempt by Duke guard Andre Dawkins.

The Wolfpack couldn’t build on either play. It struggled to pressure the ball, which was supposed to be a strength of freshman guard Cat Barber and junior guard Desmond Lee, while the forwards struggled with ball screens.

“We have to work on that and keep getter better at those things,” Gottfried said.

Before the season, Gottfried knew there would be struggles for his inexperienced team this season, but he also hoped there would be significant defensive improvement from the 2012-13 season.

This team has been better at blocking shots but it hasn’t been able to create turnovers or get out in transition like last season’s NCAA tournament team.

Duke, like Virginia and Pitt before them, was able to drive to the rim at will against N.C. State’s defense.

“It started for us with our inability to defend somebody off the dribble,” Gottfried said. “That hurts.”

At 1-4 in the ACC, the Wolfpack finds its season in a tailspin. With three straight conference home games – against Maryland, Georgia Tech and Florida State – it can still recover and prove Krzyzewski’s opinion to be correct.

FayObserver.com
Monday’s games: Maryland at N.C. State, UNC at Virginia

The bulletin board: This is the first of three Triangle trips for Maryland in its final ACC season. N.C. State, North Carolina and Duke don’t play in College Park, Md. … This is the start of a three-game homestand for the Wolfpack, which has played three of its last four games on the road. Georgia Tech and Florida State also come to Raleigh this month. … N.C. State has two 30-point losses in its first five league games. The last time it had two in the same season was 1994, and that team finished 5-11. … Maryland’s top player is Raleigh native Dez Wells, who averages 14.6 points and 4.9 rebounds. … N.C. State freshman Lennard Freeman, who didn’t play Saturday because of a sprained ankle, sat out practice Sunday and is a game-time decision.

Stephen Schramm (FayObserver.com)
NC State Hosts Maryland For Final Time In ACC

NC State and Maryland, long-time ACC foes, will meet as conference opponents for the final time when the Terrapins comes PNC Arena Monday night at 9 p.m. The game will be broadcast on ESPNU.

Maryland controlled the series until Mark Gottfried got to Raleigh. NC State’s 79-74 win over Maryland in 2012 snapped a nine-game losing streak to the Terps. Last season’s contest featured a basket by UM’s Alex Len in the final second to lift Maryland 51-50 over the Pack. Each team owns an 11-7 overall record on the year.

NC State will attack Maryland with the ACC’s leading scorer, 6-8 sophomore T.J. Warren. The Durham, N.C., native averages 22.2 points per game. He had 23 points and eight rebounds at Duke on Saturday. Maryland will counter with 6-5 athletic swingman Dez Wells. Wells, the MVP of the Paradise Jam, leads Maryland in scoring with 14.6 points per game.

Monday’s contest is the start of three straight home games for NC State. After hosting Maryland, the Pack will take on Georgia Tech Sunday, Jan. 26. Florida State comes to PNC Wednesday, Jan. 29.

1. REALIGNMENT CASUALTY
Monday night’s tilt between NC State and Maryland could potentially be the last meeting between the two long-time ACC schools. Maryland, like NC State, is a charter member of the ACC and is set to join the Big Ten Conference next season. The two schools have played on the hardwood 150 times entering Monday’s contest. The most memorable meeting in the series was the 1974 ACC tourney final, when No. 1 NC State defeated No. 5 Maryland 103-100 in Greensboro. That win propelled the Wolfpack to its first national title.

2. GOTT’s 50TH
Mark Gottfried and the Pack will celebrate the coach’s 50th birthday when they host Maryland at PNC Arena on Monday night. Gottfried is 4-2 all-time on his birthday, including a 1-0 mark at NC State. Last year’s 66-62 home win over Clemson was on his 49th birthday.

About 1.21 Jigawatts

Class of '98, Mechanical Engineer, State fan since arriving on campus and it's been a painful ride ever since. I live by the Law of NC State Fandom, "For every Elation there is an equal and opposite Frustration."

13-14 Basketball

Home Forums NC STATE vs MARYLAND Preview

Viewing 25 posts - 1 through 25 (of 250 total)
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  • #37730
    1.21 Jigawatts
    Keymaster

    Game Time: 9:00 pm TV: ESPNU Announcers: Mike Patrick, LaPhonso Ellis So much for never repeating the beating from UVA…I have a feeling Duke won’t b
    [See the full post at: NC STATE vs MARYLAND Preview]

    #37733
    Wulfpack
    Participant

    I will take it as a bad sign that Mike Patrick is announcing tonight. He is almost as unbearable as Vitale. Blech.

    #37734
    BJD95
    Keymaster

    Cat memes return. WOOOOOOO!!!!!!

    #37739
    VaWolf82
    Keymaster

    CBS Sports breaks down SOS into non-conference, conference, and overall. Of the six teams in the middle of the conference (per RPI), State has the toughest conference SOS by a good margin. So unless you expected to State to contend for the upper 1/3 of the conference, then the results to date aren’t surprising. (And if you expected State to finish near the top of the conference, then there isn’t much that I can say.)

    If State is actually in the middle of the conference, then it needs to win the next two games and prove it. If State is actually in the bottom 1/3 of the conference (which the loss to NC-Central has always suggested), then get ready for a whole lot of ugly.

    #37741
    FergusWolf
    Participant

    As I started to read this article…my thought was…which Terp player was going to up his game and be the person responsible for the @ss whipping we are going to receive tonight…

    And then, as I read on, I was reminded that Dez Wells is a Raleigh native…

    Now, Dez (to Maryland through Xavier), averages 14pts per game, so he shouldn’t sneak up on us as some previously unknown wunderkind have in the past…but still…

    I’m predicting that Dez goes off for 31 pts, shooting 5-8 from the 3pt line, and hitting 10 free throws.

    Result UMD 82, NCSU 55. At least this time we keep the differential under 30.

    #37742
    graywolf
    Participant

    This will not be pretty…..not sure I can bear to watch.

    #37743
    PapaWolf
    Participant

    Nah, we won’t lose by 27. Too easy!! We’d all get home early, avoid the traffic, and blow off the rest of the season. It is our lot to suffer. Tied with 5 minutes left, lose by 10. Dez Wells eats us up.

    VaWOlf – Totally agree. Syracuse, UVA, Duke, Pitt, and UNC are out of reach for us this year. We’ve got to earn any respect with wins against GT, FSU, Miami, Wake (crap!), Clemson, BC and start tonight against Maryland.

    #37748
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    THERE IS NO WAY WE GET BLOWN OUT TONIGHT !

    forget… everything you have seen on the court from the kids in red the last couple of weeks…

    … playing at home for the last time in the foreseeable future against the Twerps… I am 100% counting on our crowd to keep our guys in this game. Go early, drink alot, do what you have to do…. but…

    remember… The Old Lefthander…
    remember… Elmore and MacMillan…
    remember… Old Sweaty Gary…
    remember… how the old noise meter in Reynolds used to work and make THIS happen….

    Just give the Twerps ALL the “respect” they have earned since 1954.

    That’s all the ‘ghosts on the south smoking porch’ and Dr. Deb require of us…

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
    #37749
    13OT
    Participant

    The one bad sign for tonight’s contest is that we’re playing a home ACC game.

    And for those who think we’ve seen the last of the Terps, think again. The bottom-feeders in the ACC and B1G usually get paired against each other in the annual ACC-Big Ten Challenge. ESPN will see to that.

    #37750
    FergusWolf
    Participant

    The problem, as you all know, is that this team can’t take a hard punch to the jaw and get back up.

    It happened against Cincinnati, NC Central, Missouri, Pitt, UVA, and Duke. Sometimes the hard right came early, other times later, but as soon as it did, we packed up our tent and left.

    I’ve stripped my list of “I hope we”‘s for this year too…
    – Get our young bigs a lot of playing time so they have the experience for next year
    – Same for Cat, his ceiling is high, he’s just overwhelmed right now
    – That we find a way to get past this “glass jaw issue”
    – DW forces Gott to hire a new defensive coordinator

    Other than that, it would be nice if we could win 3 or 4 more games this year.

    #37754
    Pack85EE
    Participant

    I’m still a bit optimistic. We expected this team to show their youth including getting knocked around early but they should improve more than most through the season because of the youth. That said, if we won all the reasonably winnable games (not likely) we would be 10-8 in conference. Win the next 3 and hope remains, 2 of next 3 and we believe we can be competitive, maybe make NIT, win only one or none – just look for the occasional brilliant game, and follow football recruiting. And there’s always Russell, Steven, JR and Nate. A Wolfpacker will win the Superbowl.

    #37755
    wufpup76
    Keymaster

    It’s Maryland. Nothing positive will happen.

    Plus, we’re not very good.

    Let’s just get this over with.

    #37756
    Pack85EE
    Participant

    Any detailed word on Freeman. I didn’t know he was out of action in the Duke game until after a couple substitutions inside he had not come in. Today I just read a sprained ankle. Any details?

    #37761
    Texpack
    Participant

    I posted during the game Saturday that the only ACC loss to date that hurts us was the Wake game. I think VaWolf’s stats confirm this. Everyone said we were a middle of the pack team at the beginning of the year. I wouldn’t give up on this team yet. If we are going to sneak onto the NCAA Bubble, Cat Barber has to play a whole lot better. His carelessness with the basketball is costing us 12-14 points per game because everyone of his turnovers turns into a snow bird.

    I’m also ready to put three shooters on the floor at once, but that may have to wait another year or two.

    #37763
    JohnGalt78
    Participant

    Middle of what pack? We’re not sneaking anywhere unless everyone else starts playing a lot worse. Seriously, we probably won’t make the NIT this year.

    #37765
    WeAreCured
    Participant

    Maryland – 76
    State – 65

    #37772
    PapaWolf
    Participant

    HELP!
    How do you add a picture?

    #37774
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    Bennett’s ‘Hoos currently sticking it too Uncle Roy’s Holes….

    The outcome could be insightful as to the reason the season.

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
    #37780
    wufpup76
    Keymaster

    PapaWolf,

    Just above your text box (where you write the body of your post) you should see a row of html tag buttons.

    To post an image, click the ‘img’ button – this will prompt you for the image url – copy/paste your selected image url when prompted; you will then be prompted for a description of the image – this is completely optional and not necessary. Hit ok, and you’ll see code as follows:

    Ex:
    ”'< img src= http://rlv.zcache.com/i_hate_md_maryland_greeting_card-rfecd92b6fd4441918336eaf1355261a8_xvuat_8byvr_324. jpg alt=”null” / >

    #37786
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    On the other channel… Uncle Roy looks like he’s lost ten pounds since Christmas….

    his kids are wearing on him or he’s deeply troubled….

    Just quietly watching Bennetts ‘Hoos take care of business which is somehow making me feel better about that disaster a couple of weeks ago.

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
    #37787
    Fastback68
    Participant

    It’s too bad the ACC didn’t just go ahead and schedule us an at syracuse and an at Pittsburgh doubleheader yesterday so that we could have stuck a fork in this –itpile already.

    #37789
    SaccoV
    Participant

    This has to be UVa’s year to make a serious run. If Bennett doesn’t make the Sweet 16 this year, I don’t believe he ever will.

    #37792
    bill.onthebeach
    Participant

    Bennett definitely has his horses hitched to the wagon and pulling together….

    Holes are going down tonight.

    Marcus Page has been a very good imitation of Cat on three, four or five all night
    and Poor Old Uncle Roy just doesn’t know what to do with that. He certainly can’t put him on the bench.

    #NCSU-North Carolina's #1 FOOTBALL school!
    #37794
    wufpup76
    Keymaster

    A smattering of UVa fans/students chanting ‘NIT’ at *Nx … lol

    #37796
    packer74
    Participant

    Good night so far as the Heels get hammered.

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