ACC Basketball Power Ratings

Miami’s win over Duke has propelled the Hurricanes to approximately #38 in the RPI and into the discussion for most bubble watches for a ‘projected’ NCAA Tournament. That actually ends up being good news for NC State who is holding firm at #55 in the RPI and has squeaked back into most NCAA Tournament projected fields as it is hard to include the Hurricanes and not the Wolfpack who won AT Miami.

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4. Virginia: The Cavs recorded a season-high 20 turnovers in their loss to Florida State, which they blamed more on their execution than the Seminoles’ defense. Senior Mike Scott continues to impress, as Virginia’s four losses this season have come by a combined 10 points.

5. Miami: It took three overtime periods — two versus Maryland, one at Duke — to extend the Hurricanes’ winning streak to four, and in so doing, they’re pushing their way back into the NCAA conversation. Sunday’s win marked Miami’s first at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and only its second win over the Blue Devils since joining the ACC.

6. NC State: Scott Wood made six 3-pointers in the Pack’s victory against Wake Forest. Most notably, he did it in his home arena, the RBC Center — although he told The News & Observer he prefers playing on the road. “Anytime you have fans talking trash, it raises your game.”

7. Maryland: The Terps gave the Tar Heels all they could handle on Saturday, even leading by as many as nine points in the second half before UNC rallied. Guard Terrell Stoglin continues to lead the ACC in scoring, but Maryland has now lost five of its past six games.

8. Clemson: The Tigers lost both their games last week and also lost forward Milton Jennings, who was suspended for the second time this season, this time for academic reasons. He’s out indefinitely, meaning the Tigers lose an average of 8.9 points and 5.4 rebounds per game.

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11-12 Basketball

14 Responses to ACC Basketball Power Ratings

  1. PackMan97 02/06/2012 at 12:20 PM #

    Seems fairly accurate. State is definitely higher in the standings because of an easier schedule. Hopefully we can step up and win one of Duke/FSU/Cheaters and then close out the deal against Miami, Clemson and VT. I’d have to say right now that biggest game we’ll have might be against Miami as that could easily be for 4th place in the ACC and a bye for the first round. A sweep of Miami will hopefully be enough to get us into the NCAAs so a bye wouldn’t hurt and we’d get to play a tired team who played the previous day.

    Definitely getting ahead of myself though 🙂

    Remaining Games:
    State – @GT, @Duke, FSU, UNC, @Clemson, Miami, @VT
    UVa – Wake, @UNC, @Clemson, MD, @VT, Carolina, FSU, @MD (what efftard makes these schedules, MD twice in 5 games?)
    Miami – VT, @FSU, UNC, Wake, @MD, FSU, @State, BC
    MD – @Clemson, @Duke, BC, @UVa, Miami, @GT, @UNC, UVa

    The good news is that in the “mini-conference” for 4th place NC State doesn’t play much…and the other teams can help us out by beating each other up. We just need to take care of business. I think we’ll finish no worse than 5th, imo. At this point, MD beating UVa and Miami would help us the most as we have a 2 1/2 game lead on them.

  2. Texpack 02/06/2012 at 1:34 PM #

    Seven games left on the conference schedule. Four of them are against the RPI Top 50 and the other three are on the road. That is a tough finishing stretch. We could play six solid games in that stretch and still go 3-4. If we go 4-3 we will very likely get in the NCAA’s. If we go 5-2, we’d have a shot at an 8-9 seed.

  3. graywolf 02/06/2012 at 1:59 PM #

    First things first…..we need to win big in Atlanta before we think about anything else.

  4. 61Packer 02/06/2012 at 2:21 PM #

    The biggest game for State is now the one Thursday night. 2 losses to a bad GT (and that’s what the Jackets are now) would be hard to overcome, and would crush morale heading into the 5-day stretch at Duke and vs FSU and UNC. If that becomes a 4-game losing streak, followed by road games at Clemson and VT which sandwich the Miami game, the Hurricanes should be about the least of the Wolfpack’s worries right now.

    A Sendek or Robinson team would have an easy time losing 5 or 6 of the remaining 7 games. Lowe would lose ’em all. I think it’ll take 4-3 to get us dancing, but it all starts in Atlanta. Gott and his staff MUST get this team to realize how important this one is.

  5. xphoenix87 02/06/2012 at 2:21 PM #

    For what it’s worth, Joe Lunardi has us in the bracket (though just barely) in his bracketology today.

    http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

  6. BJD95 02/06/2012 at 2:59 PM #

    Head to head doesn’t matter a lick (re bubble status) – just see UVA vs. UNC about 8 years ago.

    But it DOES help us in that we now have a quality win, and on the road to boot.

  7. wolfpackdawg 02/06/2012 at 3:52 PM #

    We need to assign one of the CJ’s to Glen “like white on Rice.

  8. JeremyH 02/06/2012 at 4:34 PM #

    I hope we can show GT how much we’ve improved in our perimeter defense. If I recall, they were able stop us inside, so I expect a gameplan requiring us to assert ourselves inside early.

  9. JeremyH 02/06/2012 at 4:36 PM #

    Also I want to see Brown be aggressive on offense and Wood to be something more than spot-up shooter.

  10. SuperStuff 02/06/2012 at 4:48 PM #

    Brown & Howell are from Georgia and played against some of those guys in high school. After losing to GT at home I want this one real bad.

  11. StateFans 02/06/2012 at 5:26 PM #

    I genuinely think that – barring too many upsets in conference tournaments – that we would get into the NCAA Tournament if we go 4-3 the rest of the way and win one game (even against a bad team) in the ACC Tournament. Don’t think it really matters who the four teams are that we beat to go 4-3.

    Of course, that^ presumption would change if there was a huge rash of upsets in some conference tournaments. But…all else being equal…that is where we stand.

    Of course, that UVA game remains the difference in sleeping more easily and not.

  12. BJD95 02/06/2012 at 7:23 PM #

    If we get 4 wins AND Miami stays in the Top 50…I would be nervous but not surprised if we got in (ie, our odds slightly better than 50/50). But 10-6 plus ACC semis is the bare minimum not to be worried at all.

    Of course, I’m really not worried per se because I’m fine with either post-season option.

  13. bogman95 02/06/2012 at 8:42 PM #

    I see no reason why we can’t upset Duke in Cameron. True, it is Cameron but if our guys don’t let the environment intimidate them like they did the Dweeb Dome then I think we have a great chance. If we win there, I think we are a shoe-in for the NCAA tourney provided we win all the other must win games and do well in the acc tourney.

  14. VaWolf82 02/06/2012 at 9:13 PM #

    Head to head doesn’t matter a lick (re bubble status) – just see UVA vs. UNC about 8 years ago.

    And Az vs Az St several years ago….
    And George Mason vs someone (the year GMU went to the Final 4)

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