A look around the ACC

Let’s look around the ACC and make some predictions about this weekend’s game (minus our game against Pitt, let’s save that discussion for tomorrow). The point of offering my predictions is only to generate some discussion for our readers as we apologize for being too busy to keep the front page dynamic this week. I personally don’t gamble on sports. As to my ability to accurately predict spreads, a friend of mine used to ask me what I thought on certain games and then take the opposite team. He fared well using that strategy even though I consider myself a knowledgeable sports fan. Of course, my excuse is that he was betting on NBA basketball. Who watches NBA basketball?

Here is how the weekend looks:

-UNC (+2.5) @ GT (noon kickoff)

Are teams figuring out PJ’s offense?

Johnson uses the results against Clemson, which Tech defeated 30-27, compared to what happened to Boston College a week later, to illustrate.

“I don’t know if anybody caught the Boston College-Clemson game,” the coach asked. “How many first downs did they [BC] make? Four. They had 50 yards of total offense. We had 418 yards and there’s something wrong with us.”

That hardly mean that Johnson or his team are satisfied. Center Sean Bedford was so disappointed after the 33-17 loss to Miami that he apologized to the Yellow Jackets’ following for the way the offense has performed.

The biggest difference between the offense last year and this year is this year there have been fewer big plays (runs or passes of 20 yards or more). Last year through three games, the Jackets had 13 rushing plays and six plays covering that distance.

Prediction: UNC covers, wins, and climbs in the polls.

-South Florida (+14) @ Florida St (noon kickoff)

Prediction: Matte Groeth, who torched us last year in Carter Finley, is out for the season. Florida State continues to look good and rolls covering the 14 pts.

-Wake (-2.5) @ Boston College (2:00 pm kickoff)

Unfortunately for BC, none of the offensive line’s blocking schemes seem to be working, and that does not bode well for the immediate future of this young team. Aside from the five offensive line starters, eight of the remaining 17 starters are either freshmen or sophomores. In addition, 10 of those 17 starters outside of the linemen had no regular starting experience before this season.

The bottom line is that the offensive line is BC’s most experienced group, and that group is letting the team down. As the younger players get their feet wet, the Eagles need to count on their line to carry them through the first half of the season. If not, BC could be looking at its first losing record since 1998.

Prediction: This is a pivotal matchup in the Heights. Last week, BC’s offense gained 54 yards of total offense against Clemson. Wake’s defense was decimated by graduation losing numerous great players to the NFL. In the end, superior quarterback play will win this game for Wake Forest (and cover the spread) against whoever may start for BC this week at QB

-Miami (-1.5) @ VT (3:30 pm kickoff)

Prediction: Obviously a huge game as the national media has jumped back on the Miami bandwagon. VT and points in Blacksburg against an ACC opponent that we beat the last two years? On principle, I will take VT and the points.


-TCU (+3) @ Clemson (3:30 pm kickoff)

Prediction: I was impressed by Clemson’s play at GT. I know TCU is a strong team, but this is still in Death Valley. Let’s go with Clemson because I like their coach’s first name – “Dabo “.

-Rutgers(-3) @ Maryland (3:30 pm kickoff)

Prediction: The Fridge is in trouble. Can they really be this bad after losses to Cal and Middle Tennessee St and almost losing James Madison? Take the underdog at home. Fridge pulls a big win out.

-NC Central @ Duke

Prediction: Who cares?

General

19 Responses to A look around the ACC

  1. GAWolf 09/24/2009 at 2:32 PM #

    Y’all know the history of Dabo? He’s from Alabama and someone used to call him “That boy” but in ‘Bama slang: Da-bo. As in: “Get Da Bo writ dare.” (Translated into the Queen’s English: Get that boy right there.)[I can't recall where I heard that, and I cannot confirm it is true. But I like it nonetheless.]

    I would take Tech, and I’d bet not my life but easily Daily Update’s on it. That also gives everyone else good reason to take the Heels.

    I some tidbit somewhere that the Duke/Central game was going to “reunite Durham.” I assume they’re talking about reuniting Durham since the polarization of the Duke Lacrosse case. I thought the public vindication of the boys settled that once and for all. Silly, media.

  2. Daily Update 09/24/2009 at 2:38 PM #

    In terms of who NC State fans should be pulling for, go for TCU, Rutgers, GT, and S. Florida. Wake/BC and Miami/VT are virtual toss ups.

  3. packplantpath 09/24/2009 at 3:12 PM #

    According to wiki, you were close:

    “Swinney’s nickname was given to him as an infant by his parents when his then-15-month-old brother would try to enunciate “that boy” when referring to Swinney.[9] He married the former Kathleen Bassett in 1994 and has three sons.”

    And no, I didn’t just edit wiki to say that 🙂

  4. Wufpacker 09/24/2009 at 3:40 PM #

    UNC @ GT: I expect GT to beat UNC-CH, and the spread, in Atlanta.

    Miami @ VaTech: In Blacksburg, despite “The U’s” strong start, I gotta take VaTech and the points.

    Wake @ BC: Not so much due to a confidence in BC, but rather a lack of confidence in Wake on the road, I gotta take BC and the points at their place.

    TCU @ Clemson: Gut tells me Clemson will more than cover in Death Valley.

    Frankly, none of the other games intrigue me enough to even analyze. And for the record, Durham has been “polarized” (good term, that) a lot longer than just since the Duke Lacrosse incident…I don’t see this game reuniting anyone or anything. You’re talking about two subsets of the population that never were united to begin with.

  5. choppack1 09/24/2009 at 3:42 PM #

    The GaTech will be interesting – and will really tell us alot about the potential of this GaTech program. If they can beat UNC – I’ll venture to say that the PJ era will be relatively successful. If they can’t – that’s pretty troublesome from a GaTech perspective.

  6. shomewood 09/24/2009 at 4:15 PM #

    Here are the ACC Picks:

    GT covers -2.5
    USF +14
    VT Straight Up
    Clemson -3

    THE LOCK IS!!!

    Rutgers covers -3 @ Maryland

  7. LKNpackfan 09/24/2009 at 4:47 PM #

    I’d take
    GT
    FSU
    Wake
    Miami
    Clempsun
    Rutgers

    BTW, State’s the 1pt favorite against Pitt

  8. BJD95 09/24/2009 at 4:48 PM #

    Guys, Rutgers flat out sucks (all their good players graduated or turned pro). Maryland is bad, but not bad enough to lay points at home against Rutgers. If I were a gambling man, I’d bet heavy coin on the Terps.

    Bees/Holes is a game where I could see either convincing outcome happening (GT is mad, fired up, and makes statement against a UNC team that’s a bit overconfident OR UNC comes out and just flattens them). I wouldn’t touch that game from a gambler’s standpoint. But I don’t think it will be close either way.

    I’m very impressed by Miami, and think their improvement is real. But a road favorite against the Hokies? Seems like the market over-corrected a bit there.

  9. LKNpackfan 09/24/2009 at 4:50 PM #

    You’re talking about two subsets of the population that never were united to begin with.
    That line of scrimmage doesn’t just divide the offense and defense, you know what i’m saying

  10. choppack1 09/24/2009 at 4:58 PM #

    BJD – unless you consider the fact that VaTech’s offense is putrid…and well, Miami isn’t.

    Still, you know the Hokies will be fired up – and they’ll be playing their game. Should be fun one. No reason for this game not to be the 8 PM EST showcase on ABC really.

  11. JayVee 09/24/2009 at 5:01 PM #

    “-NC Central @ Duke

    Prediction: Who cares?”

    Priceless….thanks for the laugh!

  12. Texpack 09/24/2009 at 6:03 PM #

    Lock of the Week TCU and the points. I doubt seriously this will be a close game.

  13. john of sparta 09/24/2009 at 6:30 PM #

    UNX: covers/wins/climbs.
    so simple, assignment defense.
    BC: they suck. ok.
    Free Shoes: watch them run. you win.
    Hokies? the U can’t cover, but wins.
    Horned Frogs? bet right and make the year.
    Scarlet Knights? Gaydar covers/wins.
    Central Time: Duke’s alarm goes off.

  14. bradleyb123 09/24/2009 at 6:38 PM #

    I don’t see Carolina losing this game. Their defense will smother Tech’s offense. And if the Holes show up with half an offense, they might win by 2-3 scores (notice I didn’t say which KIND of score — heh heh!)

    If I were a betting man, and I’m not any more, I would take Carolina and the points all day long.

  15. ChiefJoJo 09/24/2009 at 8:49 PM #

    Do you guys realize how bad VT’s offense is? They were awful vs. Bama and Nebraska. I’m taking Miami.

  16. b 09/24/2009 at 10:45 PM #

    GT’s offense will do more against Carolina’s D, than Carolina’s O will Do against GT’s D. I think a few wrinkles will pop up early that UNC won’t be ready for, and they will have TO problems to boot.

    USF still has a stingy defense, but I don’t think they can score enough. I’m not sold on FSU just because they outran a buncha WAC players, just think they will be up for this game.

    BC will somehow beat Wake, and while TCU may struggle for a while, Clemson will find a way to keep them in the game and lose it.

    Miami is still young and getting too much love from the media, they’re due for a letdown. They look suspect on special teams as well, a bad sign with Beamer on the other sideline.

  17. El Lobo Loco! 09/25/2009 at 3:23 AM #

    ^b agree in the GT-UNX game.
    Go Jackets! Kill UNC!

    I will keep rooting for the ‘noles and hope that Clemson can pull that one off.

  18. section2chuck 09/25/2009 at 10:46 AM #

    How in the world are you already hearing Miami having a chance for a National Title, and J.Harris in the Heisman talk? Give me a break, are they the same team we saw last season in Raleigh? I think they are good, but let’s not start drinking tha Miami kool-aid just yet. I think they will lose @ VT, and OU will beat them also. It’s funny how quickly some schools will get pushed into the top 10 or national title talk. If we had won those same games, we would not be in the top 10, and Russell Wilson would not be in the Heisman talks.

  19. bradleyb123 09/25/2009 at 3:26 PM #

    I’m not drinking the Miami koolaid yet. They beat Florida State in a close game, but how great is FSU? And they beat up on a lousy GT team. Yes, lousy! Tech has some good trick plays in their arsenal, as Clemson found out. But take away those flukey, field-length scores by Tech, and Clemson beats them by 3 touchdowns.

    IMO, Miami has only proven they’re pretty good. They may be great, but we don’t know that yet, at least, not based on who they’ve beaten so far.

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