SMD: The Gap Grows Greater

SFN:  Long time readers may remember some of our old entries (from 2005-2006) that we named “Perpetually Disappearing Pie”.  We won’t link them here since our most recent server transition removed the key graphs from the entries.  Today’s entry is a special submission from one of our long time contributors, SMD, and brings with it a similar perspective.  Before reading this, we ask that you click here to view one of the many fascinating quotes from NC State’s current Athletics Director that will serve to provide direct insight into the mindset in Raleigh that helps create the results that SMD discusses in his submission.

I had tickets to the NC State-UNC-CH game today but didn’t go. I didn’t even watch it on TV. The last thing I wanted to see was another reminder of how far NC State has fallen behind the Tarholes.

While it is no exaggeration to say that I would literally pull for the Taliban National Team against the Baby Blues, the fact remains that I respect the hell out of their program. Frank McGuire, Dean Smith and now Roy Williams have established one of the top three college programs of all-time in Chapel Hell.

I give the Tarholes their due as a way of saying this; As a Wolfpacker, I have never expected our basketball program to compete neck and neck with UNC-CH for national prominence and titles. That idea is pretty much a pipe dream for anyone not named Coach K. However, given NC State’s storied tradition up to the early 1990s, there was no reason to ever think that we could not keep the Smurfs from feeling the wolves’ breath on their back.

Unfortunately, the Wolfpack is doing little to keep that pace and now we are a distant gleam in their rearview mirror – assuming they look back at all.

I’ve crunched the numbers from State’s basketball media guide and found some interesting statistics regarding the series record with UNC-CH. I looked at the head to head records for each decade starting in the 1950s and found the following;

1950 to 1960:

  • State won 16 of 27 for a win percentage of .592.
  • State won in 8 of the 10 years.

1960-1970:

  • State won 4 of 22 for a win percentage of .181.
  • State won in 4 of the 10 years.

1970-1980

  • State won 14 of 30 for a win percentage of .466.
  • State won in 9 of the 10 years.

1980-1990

  • State won 8 of 25 for a win percentage of .320
  • State won in 6 of the 10 years.

1990-2000

  • State won 6 of 22 for a win percentage of .272.
  • State won in 5 of the 10 years.

2000-2009

  • State won 5 of 18 for a win percentage of .277.
  • State won in 3 of the 9 years.

 

Over the course of the last 6 decades, NC State had one, four-year losing streak in the 60’s. In the current decade there was a three-year losing streak from 2004 to 2006. Besides those two streaks, the Wolfpack has never suffered long losing streaks to the Tarholes. Like I said, State was able to keep the wolves’ breath on the Heels’ back.

Here’s the killer; against UNC-CH coaches not named Matt Doherty, State has won just twice in the last 13 years and once in the last decade. Let that sink in. Throw out the anomaly that the Doherty years were for UNC-CH and our record against “normal” Tarhole teams is nothing short of dismal.

Let’s state it again for emphasis – Setting aside the Matt Doherty years, State has beaten UNC-CH twice in the last 13 years and once in the last decade.

Digging into the numbers deeper, and comparing the records of the nine schools in the old ACC, against non-Matt Doherty Tarhole teams over the last 13 years, NC State has the fewest wins against UNC-CH of ANY ACC institution.

Here’s the point of all these dismal and pathetic statistics; until NC State leadership decided to de-emphasize basketball (and some could argue the entire athletics program) the Wolfpack beat one of the top programs in all of college basketball on a regular basis. Tarhole basketball is what it is and NC State has no control over how great things are in Chapel Hell. But what we can control is keeping the pace with the legendary program we all love to hate. As I’ve said before in the comments section of this blog, younger Wolfpackers should know that until the late 1980’s, the Wolfpack was tied with UNC-CH for ACC titles. We had the same number of national titles until 1993.

One could argue that while beating the Tarholes feels good for the Monday after work, there are many other barometers to measure the strength of a basketball program than wins against a top notch arch-rival.

While there are other indicators of program strength, I strongly believe that how NC State’s program fares against our argyle-wearing enemies should be the indicator that matters most. Why?

If NC State is beating UNC-CH on a regular basis, then our program is in pretty good shape. The Tarholes are without a doubt the gold standard by which the rest of the ACC and other programs across the country are judged. The years that the Wolfpack has fared best in the rivalry typically runs parallel to the years of overall success for the program. That’s no coincidence. If you’re going to run with the top dogs, or near the top dogs, you have to beat them. And if you’re beating them, you’re probably doing pretty good against the mutts and other dogs that aren’t as good.

I don’t think we’ll ever make up the ground we’ve lost over the last 19 years in my lifetime. Recruits today have no clue what Wolfpack basketball used to be. But sometime or another NC State has to step up and at least try to keep pace with UNC-CH. We have to stop accepting the ever-widening gap between the two programs. Who will accept that challenge?

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129 Responses to SMD: The Gap Grows Greater

  1. WolftownVA81 02/04/2009 at 12:13 AM #

    ^ No $ = Change. Now that’s a simple slogan that could be put on T-shirts and worn to games. Or, it could be printed on any requests for donations and mailed back to the Wolfpack Club or the Alumni Association. Eventually, someone would get it.

  2. ncsu_kappa 02/04/2009 at 1:04 AM #

    Anthony Grant would be perfect fit at NC State, What about Capel at OU? Sid has coached in the NBA but never been very good at the helm.

    I think Sidney Lowe is a bad college head coach. But the last thing I want to do is reset the “patience” clock without addressing the root cause of our overall shittiness

    Well put BJD95. I still think this type of coverage is pointless. As somebody pointed out, its like comparing our football team to Florida’s. Either way its good to see my pain/frustration/loyalty problems (suffering from nc state fanaticism) are shared by you all again.

  3. Wolf74 02/04/2009 at 7:35 AM #

    Noah said: “You know which basketball coach brought in good recruiting classes to NC State?

    All of them. There’s never been a basketball coach at NC State that DID NOT RECRUIT top players. Furthermore, every coach at NC State has enjoyed pretty good recruiting success.”

    This is absolutely true. I have been following NCSU recruiting since the early days of Norm Sloan and every single coach has been able to get top players interested in NCSU. During the early and mid 70’s, Sloan matched Smith virtually player for player. V was able to bring in top talent. Les did so until the Administration at NCSU put self imposed restrictions on him. Herb recruited pretty well.

    Belonging to the ACC conference and NCSU’s history, geographical location, facilities, fan support, and the academic offerings of the largest university in the state will bring in a certain number of quality recruits as long as you have what is perceived to be an average coach. Have a top flight coach and that just makes it that much easier.

  4. Rick 02/04/2009 at 7:52 AM #

    “Rigth or wrong- that did not sit well with the college coaching fraternity who felt Herb was dealt a raw deal and NC State by firing a consistent NCAA tournament coach”

    And you get this information from where?
    I call complete bull hockey on that. We have no idea how the “college coaching fraternity” felt. We do know Fowler could not get the big dogs to come here. He did not even go down the list of up and comers.

    Stupid statement with no basis in fact.

  5. Rochester 02/04/2009 at 7:55 AM #

    After another NCAA tournament trip he was subsequently forced out.

    This is not how I remember this going down. I seem to remember Herb leaving for a fresh start after tiring of criticism from fans unhappy that we had plateaued. Who “forced” him out?

  6. choppack1 02/04/2009 at 8:08 AM #

    “After another NCAA tournament trip he was subsequently forced out.”

    He wasn’t forced out – he left on his own accord and took the job at ASU. He could have stayed here as long as he wanted w/ Lee in charge. I do think that the seat had gotten a little hot, because, like 2 years earlier, where he also had a very good ACC record, his team fell apart in the final stretch run.

    TomCat – since we weren’t smart enough to send out some talking points to the local media after Sendek left when they started bashing the fans, here’s what you need to know:
    1) He was 1-17 against NCAA-tournament eligible UNC teams.
    2) He wasn’t much better vs. Duke, I think he had 4 wins against them, and at least 16 losses.
    3) I believe he’s the only coach in ACC history to coach one ACC team for 10 consecutive years and never win an ACC championship, ACC regular season title, or advance to the Elite 8 in the NCAA tournament.

    In a sense, Sendek was an AD’s worst nightmare. He won enough to have his defenders, supposedly did things the right way (though it depends on whom you ask) and make a strong case for keeping him. However, he stunk against his rivals (bad for fan support), his teams had epic collapses, and he never won enough big games. Now, it’s entirely possible Fowler could have diffused the situation by informing Sendek that the fans HAD A REASON TO BE PO’D. In his public statements, he could have said, “I understand the fans are frustrated – it’s been a LONG TIME BETWEEN TITLES FOR US and our current coach has been here 10 years and they’d like to see us beating Duke and UNC on a regular basis – and we’re not, but I believe this guy eventually will. Heck, 5 years ago, they were saying he’d never make it to the tourney – now we’ve been 5 years in a row. I’m just hoping the next 5 years, we see the kind of jump we saw 5 years ago.”

    That’s what a good AD would have done. That’s what good leadership would have done. Acknowledge that your CUSTOMERS have a friggin’ point – and that you want the same thing they do. Instead, he poured gasoline on the fire – and really changed what could have been a tolerable situation into a divisive situation. Then, there was his coaching search…

    Oh yeah, I don’t know if you’ve noticed, but HWSBN ASU team has just dropped 2 straight games. If ASU does get a bid – and they probably will, playing in a hopelessly bad Pac-10 – don’t be shocked if you see what you saw here – a first round win and a second round loss. (Although, if they get a high seed, I think they are ripe for an upset against a team w/ solid guards.)

  7. BAC79 02/04/2009 at 8:14 AM #

    Rochester, exactly, who did force him out? Please give me a name so that we can all call him and force out Fowler and company.

    Folks, this forcing out crap is just that, an excuse for packing up and leaving town. (Chop so eloquently stated the case so I will quit here)

    Back to the present, JeremyH makes an excellent point. Maybe next year we solve some of our back court problems. What about the front court? At this same point next season I can already see the posts in my mind. Our front court needs time to mature. Sids kids need more time to work into his system. This team is young and needs to grow.

    This could go on for two more years. My observation is and continues to be show me you can coach the players you have. Show me that the players can improve on the simple fundamentals of basketball i.e. crisp passes, block out, get back on defense, keep your head in the game.

    Wofpack hoops had a good interview with Rodney Monroe. Monroe made the comment that State looks pretty good for 30 out of 40 minutes but you have to play well the entire 40 minutes. I think this is a great observation which begs the question. Why are we not doing these simple things?

    Maybe a golf analogy is way off base but here it goes. Harvey Penick said if you play bad one day, don’t worry. If you play bad a second day review your fundamentals. Sounds like sound advice to me.

    Now, none of us know what goes on in practice since we aren’t there, but we can look at the product that is put on the court. What I see leads me to believe that fundamentals are not stressed. If they are stressed, then there are no consequences for a lack of sound fundamentals.

    No$=change. How true Wolftown81.

  8. TheCOWDOG 02/04/2009 at 8:22 AM #

    JIGS

    Thanks for the link. When I have some time, I’ll get digging.

    Rick, you’re right to call out the statement regarding fraternity reaction to the Herb departure, key word, departure, as in of his own volition.

    Now, as far as Fowler not being able to land a big one thereafter, let’s not forget who else was on that cleverly tracked plane to Memphis.

    Is there any doubt that by proxy the about to be named ” unnamed ” where involved the rest of the way, too.

    I’m starting to sound like a Fowler apologist. I’m not. The roots run alot deeper than him, though.

  9. Wulfpack 02/04/2009 at 8:22 AM #

    Herb wasn’t fired. He left. Had he not taken the job with the Sun Devils, he’d probably still be our coach today.

    Regarding the game last night, I don’t know what’s worse — the fact we had 20 turnovers or that only 10,888 showed up.

    Ben, Brandon and Fells scored 57 points combined, the only guys to reach double figures. They also had 33 rebounds combined (Ben and Brandon each had double doubles). There is a huge falloff in production after those guys. Anyone know what is going on with Smith? He only played 5 minutes.

    Wufpup is spot on with Javi. Again, I can appreciate what Sid is trying to do here, bringing a kid along whose confidence is shot. But does he honestly believe Javi is an ACC caliber point guard? Are Degand and Mays not far better than him? Help me understand this.

  10. BAC79 02/04/2009 at 8:29 AM #

    Wulfpack, your problem points out another possible coaching issue i.e. player management skills.

    I question whether the players have a clear understanding of what is expected of them and what consequences will ensue if those expectations are not met. These are the hallmarks of a performance based organization.

    BJD95: I bolded the above paragraph, because it is spot on with what we have heard about Sid’s management failures. Great insight!

    Personally, I would like to hear someone on the coaching staff come out and say “we are not playing fundamentally sound basketball (insert all of the things we don’t do well here) and this week we’re going to get back to the fundamentals and get everyone on board. If they don’t get on board, someone will be riding the pine.” or something like this.

  11. frankiepack 02/04/2009 at 8:31 AM #

    A few questions please if someone could answer them for me. Do we run an offense? Do we have a defense? do we run out of bounds plays.?Do we play as if we practice fundementals,for example boxing out,not throwing cross court passes? Are you satified with losing by 15 to 20 points a game? Do you honestly believe that after three years of this either more time or 12 new players will make us sucessfull?
    There is no tunnel ,there is no light. Blame it on hs blame it on fowler but as sad as it is ,sid’s got to go!

  12. smile102 02/04/2009 at 8:32 AM #

    “One thing you need to know about Noah – he’s opinionated. He’s going to get in his corner and he’s not going to budge until he has info to the contrary.”

    Noah presents evidence for his opinions- that’s what separates him, and gives him credibility.
    Thanks Noah.

  13. Sw0rdf1sh 02/04/2009 at 8:51 AM #

    I comnpletely disagree with Frankiepack in regards to Sid.

    Also, regarding Javi and his play tonight. When the announcers mentioned that he was getting playing time because he had been playing better in practice I really started to watch him closer.

    He actually looked like a somewhat different player. He came out controlling the ball and actually running it down court. He looked confident and he looked like he was using his motor. He almost stole the ball in his first few seconds. Overall, I thought he looked good…although he did have a turnover or two and started to break down at one point. Sid promptly yanked him for a blow.

    JT is getting there. Javi gave him a great alley oop dunk that was well placed. He does play “in the air” as he stated after the game…if that knee holds up he really might be getting more time.

    I know it was NCCU, but it was probably a well needed game to get some of the rotation in there and some confidence. I wish CJ would have at least logged some minutes, hopefully it isn’t anything other than just getting a different look in there. However at the very end I was suprised he didn’t go in with Simon.

  14. Wulfpack 02/04/2009 at 8:55 AM #

    ^I guess I am kind of wondering why we’re tinkering with lineups some 20 games into the season. It’s a fair question and one that is sure to illicit differing opinions. I really don’t have an explanation for it but I am sure there is one.

  15. crackdog 02/04/2009 at 8:59 AM #

    In the Arena club postgame, Towe said that Farnold had some soreness in his knee, which is why he came out and stayed out. No word on the slight limp that Costner developed in the second half, but it didn’t hurt his game against these guys.

    CJ didn’t log minutes because the coaches are trying to get the rotation back to 8 or 9 guys, and CJ isn’t the 8th or 9th best in practice right now. Towe said CJ knows the deal, that there are only 200 minutes per game, and he has to earn them.

    No word on Tracy’s minutes, but based on hearing Sid on the sideline during the game, Sid was ticked at him for his defense, as well as being out of position several times on offense.

  16. Sw0rdf1sh 02/04/2009 at 9:00 AM #

    Wulf I’m with you, and if this had been an ACC game then I would have been amazed. I think based on our lead and the talent that compared to pre-conference play, Sid saw a chance to look at some things again.

    I liked it because it gave us a second to look at how some of these guys are progressing (or not).

  17. kyjelly 02/04/2009 at 9:04 AM #

    Not to rain on this parade but last year at this same time we were 4 and 4 in league play………..and this year we only play duke,clemson and vt once.

  18. crackdog 02/04/2009 at 9:12 AM #

    This is is also without Hickson, so… did you expect better ky? If so, why?

  19. Wolf Dog 02/04/2009 at 9:32 AM #

    Herb was not fired nor forced out. Herb made a good decision to leave based on the fact that he was facing rebuilding years and was very aware of the fact that his job most likely would not survive through those years. So he marketed himself while his name was still good. It was a very smart and insightful move on his part.

    I have been keeping up with recruiting since Sloan days also. Sloan brought in top recruits. V did too. It started falling off under Les. Herb could get decent recruits but he was mostly void of top 30 recruits. Saying things whats the difference between a guy ranked 100 and a guy ranked 30. The difference was Herb and his offense wasn’t attractive to the guys in the top 30. Sid has us in the mix for top 20 recruits. No doubt its an upgrade. ESPN, newspapers, recruiting services, and other coaches have made multiple references to the fact that Sid has proven he can recruit and do it well.

    Top recruits actually attending our games and actually considering us. That puts us in the recruiting circles of the UNC, Dukes, and UConns. You want to compete with UNC and Duke that is where it has to start. Cause the top 20 recruits got UNC and Duke all over their list. Nice to start seeing NCSU on their lists again.

    The bottom line of our situation is we didn’t need a coach. We had a coach and he coached what he had pretty well. He couldn’t get the top horses to compete with our neighbors. Lost to them BIG TIME! We needed a recruiter! We got someone that relates to the NBA very well with recruits. I know some of you bring up Sid’s NBA record but he coached some very bad NBA teams. Look at the Bobcats, no doubt Larry Brown can coach but even he loses withour talent. In Sids first real class of having real time to recruit he landing a top 20 class coming in that may get better and already got inroads with the top juniors.

  20. newt 02/04/2009 at 9:35 AM #

    Seems to me that Sendek left because he didn’t think he could meet fan expectations and thought they were too hard. If he felt he could meet expectations and that they were not too hard, he would have stayed around. That’s what this blog post is about, expectations.

    State has had some nice recruits, the ones listed by Noah in my opinion are not the caliber State needs to compete the way State wants to compete. For the most part, those top-100 types listed by Noah are not going to build a team that beats UNC. They might contribute on such a team.

    Examples of great NC State recruits have been:

    David Thompson
    Sidney Lowe
    Derek Whittenburg
    Chris Washburn
    Chris Corchiani
    Rodney Monroe
    Damien Wilkins (didn’t pan out)
    Julius Hodge
    JJ Hickson

    John Wall
    Demarcus Cousins

  21. ktoh 02/04/2009 at 9:43 AM #

    Hickson averaged 13 pts a game and could not carry the team, not saying he would not have been a great college player. With or without him last year it did not really make a difference we sucked.

  22. Alpha Wolf 02/04/2009 at 9:44 AM #

    ^ Chris Washburn may have been a “great recruit” but his time in Raleigh was surely a sign of the coming apocalypse of the program.

    Yeah, I know Dean Smith was after him. But Washburn was a waste of skin as a human being and he brought nothing but shame here.

  23. Wolf Dog 02/04/2009 at 9:56 AM #

    McPete “I seriously doubt anyone remembers as much as Noah…other than die hard Wolfpack fans”

    Aren’t we all die hard wolfpack fans? So when Noah belittles yours and everyones elses posts in the name of he supposedly read the press guide better, we suppose just go quietly into the night. The press guide don’t tell the whole story.

    Bascially Noah picks a part of someone’s posts on here, starts his post with their quote and Picks up his press guide and offers a cynical and sarcastic opinion. Pretty much middle school behavior. I don’t see that as having anything to do with knowing more about wolfpack history, offering anything insightful, helpful, intelligent, or even being a die hard fan. I think there’s at least 3 expamples of him doing it in this blog alone. I am just surprised people like you not smart enough to recognize it for what it is. Maybe you just scared like a person in a comedy club, you just afraid the person on stage going to pick you out of the crowd so you go along with the act?

  24. newt 02/04/2009 at 10:37 AM #

    If we had a JJ Hickson-caliber player at every position, we’d be a Final Four team.

  25. Astral Rain 02/04/2009 at 10:57 AM #

    This is why I will not give money to State ever until it improves its performance. The only way to hit these guys is in the pocketbook.

    If you guys really cared, give up your tickets or at least wear brown Fowler bags to games. Embarass the uni into changing.

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