SMD: The Gap Grows Greater

SFN:  Long time readers may remember some of our old entries (from 2005-2006) that we named “Perpetually Disappearing Pie”.  We won’t link them here since our most recent server transition removed the key graphs from the entries.  Today’s entry is a special submission from one of our long time contributors, SMD, and brings with it a similar perspective.  Before reading this, we ask that you click here to view one of the many fascinating quotes from NC State’s current Athletics Director that will serve to provide direct insight into the mindset in Raleigh that helps create the results that SMD discusses in his submission.

I had tickets to the NC State-UNC-CH game today but didn’t go. I didn’t even watch it on TV. The last thing I wanted to see was another reminder of how far NC State has fallen behind the Tarholes.

While it is no exaggeration to say that I would literally pull for the Taliban National Team against the Baby Blues, the fact remains that I respect the hell out of their program. Frank McGuire, Dean Smith and now Roy Williams have established one of the top three college programs of all-time in Chapel Hell.

I give the Tarholes their due as a way of saying this; As a Wolfpacker, I have never expected our basketball program to compete neck and neck with UNC-CH for national prominence and titles. That idea is pretty much a pipe dream for anyone not named Coach K. However, given NC State’s storied tradition up to the early 1990s, there was no reason to ever think that we could not keep the Smurfs from feeling the wolves’ breath on their back.

Unfortunately, the Wolfpack is doing little to keep that pace and now we are a distant gleam in their rearview mirror – assuming they look back at all.

I’ve crunched the numbers from State’s basketball media guide and found some interesting statistics regarding the series record with UNC-CH. I looked at the head to head records for each decade starting in the 1950s and found the following;

1950 to 1960:

  • State won 16 of 27 for a win percentage of .592.
  • State won in 8 of the 10 years.

1960-1970:

  • State won 4 of 22 for a win percentage of .181.
  • State won in 4 of the 10 years.

1970-1980

  • State won 14 of 30 for a win percentage of .466.
  • State won in 9 of the 10 years.

1980-1990

  • State won 8 of 25 for a win percentage of .320
  • State won in 6 of the 10 years.

1990-2000

  • State won 6 of 22 for a win percentage of .272.
  • State won in 5 of the 10 years.

2000-2009

  • State won 5 of 18 for a win percentage of .277.
  • State won in 3 of the 9 years.

 

Over the course of the last 6 decades, NC State had one, four-year losing streak in the 60’s. In the current decade there was a three-year losing streak from 2004 to 2006. Besides those two streaks, the Wolfpack has never suffered long losing streaks to the Tarholes. Like I said, State was able to keep the wolves’ breath on the Heels’ back.

Here’s the killer; against UNC-CH coaches not named Matt Doherty, State has won just twice in the last 13 years and once in the last decade. Let that sink in. Throw out the anomaly that the Doherty years were for UNC-CH and our record against “normal” Tarhole teams is nothing short of dismal.

Let’s state it again for emphasis – Setting aside the Matt Doherty years, State has beaten UNC-CH twice in the last 13 years and once in the last decade.

Digging into the numbers deeper, and comparing the records of the nine schools in the old ACC, against non-Matt Doherty Tarhole teams over the last 13 years, NC State has the fewest wins against UNC-CH of ANY ACC institution.

Here’s the point of all these dismal and pathetic statistics; until NC State leadership decided to de-emphasize basketball (and some could argue the entire athletics program) the Wolfpack beat one of the top programs in all of college basketball on a regular basis. Tarhole basketball is what it is and NC State has no control over how great things are in Chapel Hell. But what we can control is keeping the pace with the legendary program we all love to hate. As I’ve said before in the comments section of this blog, younger Wolfpackers should know that until the late 1980’s, the Wolfpack was tied with UNC-CH for ACC titles. We had the same number of national titles until 1993.

One could argue that while beating the Tarholes feels good for the Monday after work, there are many other barometers to measure the strength of a basketball program than wins against a top notch arch-rival.

While there are other indicators of program strength, I strongly believe that how NC State’s program fares against our argyle-wearing enemies should be the indicator that matters most. Why?

If NC State is beating UNC-CH on a regular basis, then our program is in pretty good shape. The Tarholes are without a doubt the gold standard by which the rest of the ACC and other programs across the country are judged. The years that the Wolfpack has fared best in the rivalry typically runs parallel to the years of overall success for the program. That’s no coincidence. If you’re going to run with the top dogs, or near the top dogs, you have to beat them. And if you’re beating them, you’re probably doing pretty good against the mutts and other dogs that aren’t as good.

I don’t think we’ll ever make up the ground we’ve lost over the last 19 years in my lifetime. Recruits today have no clue what Wolfpack basketball used to be. But sometime or another NC State has to step up and at least try to keep pace with UNC-CH. We have to stop accepting the ever-widening gap between the two programs. Who will accept that challenge?

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129 Responses to SMD: The Gap Grows Greater

  1. Pack Leader 02/03/2009 at 4:35 PM #

    Tiew

    Lighten up…. its a blog…. and nothing he said was untrue………

  2. Alpha Wolf 02/03/2009 at 4:37 PM #

    Everyone is happy with TOB just winning 7-8 games and making it to a bowl. Why aren’t we screaming for his head for not putting us into position to play in a BCS bowl? He has had 2 years already.

    Do the math: how many scholarship players are on a college basketball team versus a college football team? 13 and 85.

    Which is harder to recruit for — considering that football is mostly recruiting potential where freshman players starting and making a major difference is the rarity and that in basketball, freshman starting is not at all an exception?

    Who inherited more talent? A coach that got a bare cupboard and a team with a losing record (O’Brien) versus an NCAA team (Lowe)?

    Anyone who follows college sports closely is probably very aware that building a college football program takes longer than basketball. Five years is considered a minimum for football, whereas in basketball, the norm is often considered to be three.

    Sidney Lowe deserves a full recruiting cycle, as does Tom O’Brien. Obviously, O’Brien has achieved more in his first two years: the post-season, two wins against the local arch-rival, two wins against the nemesis OOC rival, a win against Wake Forest, etc. Lowe has yet to come close to matching that in any meaningful way.

    Finally, O’Brien is obviously developing a lot of talent. He has a record of doing so, and it’s becoming quite clear that he didn’t lose his touch when he came to Raleigh. Keep that in mind on signing day tomorrow.

  3. choppack1 02/03/2009 at 4:48 PM #

    Guys,

    One thing you need to know about Noah – he’s opinionated. He’s going to get in his corner and he’s not going to budge until he has info to the contrary.

    He has a good memory and a grasp of wolfpack history. He MAY be wrong – and I think, in this case, there are lot of things out of Sid’s control…Of course, to be fair, there were a lot of things out of Les’ control and the end product still stunk.

    I’m holding out hope that Sid is learning at breakneck speed – and that the 3 recruits we have LOIs from and the 2 we have verbals from (one of whom may be wavering) – can change the landscape.

  4. Noah 02/03/2009 at 4:52 PM #

    So does that mean Bryd has jumped wayyy up peoples board or does that mean good nad watson have just not impressed as much as expected (even though the season is over there shouldnt be too much jumping. Can someone help me clarify?? But to me it seems like TOB decided to get as many hard working 3 stars as he could because as we all know 3 stars can become Golden stars in college (ala Russel wilson, Nate Irving, George Bryan, Owen Spencer).

    Byrd got upped after he got an offer from Florida State. You know why Notre Dame always underperforms? Because their classes aren’t actually that good. A Notre Dame offer bumps a kid up the ratings so their classes are artificially high.

    I have no idea if Byrd is any good or not. But he didn’t get uprated until that FSU offer came in.

    I have heard some people say that the coaching staff thinks this class is every bit as good as the one they brought in last year (and that one was ranked in the top-25).

    The AJC had some very nice things to say about Deion Roberson and Rashard Smith. They gave them both “A” grades in their recruiting wrap-up this weekend.

  5. JeremyH 02/03/2009 at 5:53 PM #

    this is some depressing sh*t.

  6. McPete 02/03/2009 at 6:05 PM #

    Wolf Dog,
    noah stated that we’ve had nice recruiting classes and have been ‘in the mix’ for top players for decades. so the arguement that lowe is getting us in the conversation with top players is new and that’s why he should keep his job – is a bad arguement.

    and i seriously doubt anyone who remembers as much as noah does about football and basketball history, game memories, recruiting stories is anything other than a diehard wolfpack fan.

  7. Wolf Dog 02/03/2009 at 6:06 PM #

    Bryd is rated as a 2 star recruit by scout and a 4 star by rivals. It has been that way for quite sometime.

  8. whitefang 02/03/2009 at 6:24 PM #

    Thanks Noah,
    Charlotte Observer link to fb recruiting: http://www.charlotteobserver.com/664/story/510403.html
    I get that paper, but rarely open it. Especially during basketball season.

  9. BSIE80 02/03/2009 at 6:25 PM #

    Wolf Dog- good summary of Noah.

    Alpha-
    I like TOB and am glad he is our fb coach, the point I am trying to make is the bar is not the same for football as it is for basketball.
    Sid gets a lot less support.
    I understand TOB has experience, but he has never one a national title. We expect Sid to build our progam into the upper level of the ACC, which means sweet sixteen, final four area….
    We expect TOB to get to the ACC championship game and maybe get to a BCS bowl- but not the national championship game.
    Also, if sid signed a bunch of 2 & 3 star guys, everyone would be screaming (CJ/Mays). The excuse is that TOB recruits character and develops the talent. Well, what about Sid. I think CJ/Mays will be good players, but they are not top level. My guess is the football players from this class will not be top level either.

  10. Pack Leader 02/03/2009 at 6:31 PM #

    ENOUGH PACK ON PACK VIOLENCE!!!!!!!!

    If your going to attack members of your own family do it on another blog!

    1st – Nothing Noah has said about recruting or wolfpack stories that have been false, simply people dont like it when he gets negative opinions. I am not saying i agree totally with him but i can respect ones opinion and move on.

    2nd- Wolfdog nobody doubts your knowledge or your on site accounts of games or what you see or hear. infact ppl like you make the blog better because you seem to have your ear to the floor and I personally like when someone is diehard as myself.
    …….. but i will add something to your writing……….

    “Sid’s son messed up so Noah wants us to fire him? How many of us did something stupid at that age?”

    – i never nor did any of my friends sell drugs, AND on top of that break in a major university dorm with loaded guns trying to rob other drug dealers. THEN in jail stab a guy the first 4 days even after your famous dad stuck his neck out and got your sentance lowered from 8 years to 1.5 years. he is a bad kid. not totally sids fault but i dont give him the benifit of the doubt that it was just a kid mistake.

  11. Pack Leader 02/03/2009 at 6:42 PM #

    MCPETE
    “and that the 3 recruits we have LOIs from and the 2 we have verbals from (one of whom may be wavering) – can change the landscape.”

    Whos wavering??? Leslie or Harrow?? from the article in the most recent WolfPacker, Leslie is trying to convince his friend Tashawn Mabry to come to state. so i doubt he is wavering so harrow is wavering??? even though he is best friends with Lorenzo Brown??

  12. McPete 02/03/2009 at 7:05 PM #

    Pack Leader,
    that wasn’t my quote.

    i think other schools are still recruiting cj leslie and i believe he was at the memphis-ecu game with john wall, so i guess that’s who people are hinting that might be wavering.

  13. TheCOWDOG 02/03/2009 at 7:09 PM #

    So, as I read it, there are a few more factions that are finally getting to the freakin’ ” Brickyard Preacher stand ” that I’ve been on.

    I’m sick and GD tired of reading levels at Fowler. He works for someone. Who do YOU work for!? (All on this blog)

    If you work for yourself, so be it, but for damn sure someone working for you is taking your directive.

    Why is it we are able to point fingers at Fowler and Oblinger but can only meekly in broad generalization invoke Admin and BOT? ( Myself included in those generalizations)

    Who I ask are the individuals? Huh? Anybody? Anyone who continually rips a coach, AD, or the f’n state of athletics give a rat’s ass who these people are? Why can’t we call Dr. Joe Smith to task. Mrs. Jane Doe?

    I’ll start the list, but I’ll need help. And I swear the next person that brings Swofford into it…just god help you.

    If one of ya’ll gets this, I’ll sacrafice to present their names to the masses.

    It ain’t Fowler people, it’s the unnamed.

  14. 1.21 Jigawatts 02/03/2009 at 7:55 PM #
  15. john of sparta 02/03/2009 at 8:08 PM #

    what UNX wants in men’s basketball:
    1. “i’d rather beat State than eat”. Roy.
    2. give Sid more time.
    3. an annuity.

  16. inhoc... 02/03/2009 at 8:22 PM #

    Break Time! i`m watching ESPN2 about the history of dunks, they just spent a great deal of time talking about David Thompson and how the alley-oop was “invented at North Carolina State”
    oh the good ole days…..

  17. Daily Update 02/03/2009 at 8:52 PM #

    Alphawolf: One correction…Sidney did not inherit an NCAA tournament team. He inherited a roster with six scholarship players that lost 5 of its top 7 players from the previous year which was an NCAA tournament team. He also only had 1 incoming recruit actually enroll who was a borderline ACC player himself.

  18. JeremyH 02/03/2009 at 8:56 PM #

    with losing 3 forward starters, I don’t care how good the guardplay is (given the college game is guard-oriented), if we don’t get some low post presence we will repeat this mess.

  19. JeremyH 02/03/2009 at 9:20 PM #

    of course the college coaching fraternity was upset, we are further enforcing how difficult it is for a college coach to step into the ACC and be successful, because of UNC and Duke. Just look at what’s happening to Gary Williams at Maryland, who has even won a national championship. the fraternity likes some sense of job security, and it just doesn’t exist in the acc.

  20. PoppaJohn 02/03/2009 at 9:29 PM #

    Jump on him all you want, but TomCat has a point.
    A few years ago we all complained that “good” wasn’t good enough, we wanted “great.”
    Well right now “good” looks pretty good in the rear view mirror.

    But, onwards and (hopefully) upwards. Whether we like it or not, Sid needs time. And like it or not, I suspect he’ll get it. I just hope he can rise to the challenge of coaching in the toughest conference in the country.

    Talk about being pitched into the deep end of the pool to learn to swim!

  21. PoppaJohn 02/03/2009 at 9:35 PM #

    I just checked the box score on the game. Farnold only played 3 minutes? (and had 2 turnovers) Javi played 15 and Julius 19. What happened? Is Farnold hurt? He seemed to be making a great deal of progress lately. Unless he got hurt, I can’t imagine why Sid wouldn’t give him all the minutes possible in order to keep him progressing.

  22. turfpack 02/03/2009 at 10:28 PM #

    So you are saying there is a chance we can possible be good ,maybe great again? No -I’m sorry we actually suck as always-right?
    ALEAST WE CARE ONE WAY OR THE OTHER-CERTAIN PEOPLE DON’T GIVE A S***
    AND WE KNOW WHO THEY ARE……HOW LONG BEFORE FOOTBALL SEASON?
    This crap about FET tunnel is starting to piss me off to!!!
    So we are just going to do away with FET because of this last bulls*** those Carowhina bastards!! THEY WILL HERE FORM ME!!!!!!!!
    IT’S ALL WONDERFUL AT NCSTATE-SOME CRAZY BASTARDS IN LEADERSHIP!

  23. wufpup76 02/03/2009 at 10:41 PM #

    For PoppaJohn and anyone else remotely interested:

    Of note in the Central game:

    – State won (yay!)

    – Solid crowd of about 250 took it in (some exaggeration there)

    – NCCU jumped out 10-2 … Farnold played the first 3 minutes, had a couple of poor turnovers and did not get the offense set … You could tell this rubbed Sidney the wrong way, so there you go

    – Good game for Javi to play in – but I’m of the opinion it should only be games like this … This is not Javi bashing – I’ve stated many times how much I love the spunky kid – but he still turns the ball over and in addition is still a fairly terrible defensive player … But Sidney and the radio crew raved about him after the game, so you can probably expect him to start or get significant minutes @ VaTech – which I would absolutely disagree with … But still, it was nice of them to be so positive and try and instill some confidence in the young man

    Sidney talked about how much energy Javi brought and how well he ran the team tonight – both very true … Against NC Central … Sidney also stated that Javi has been performing the best of the point guards in the last 5 practices if not longer – so I guess we can expect to see more of him

    Sooo, Get ready for Malcolm Delaney to score 55 or more against us this weekend

    – Johnny Thomas’ athletic ability was on full display tonight

    – Ben and Brandon looked like they were playing against middle schoolers at times with the size and strength disparity

    – Sidney hardly subbed in the second half, and Tracy Smith did not see the floor in that half (that I recall)

    – Central is pretty terrible, but at least scrappy and fought all the way through

    Draw your own conclusions friends!

    Go Pack (Long live Todd Turner wisdom)

  24. wufpup76 02/03/2009 at 10:54 PM #

    ^Forgot to add something fairly relevant:

    Courtney went back to starting at the 3, with Fergie starting at the 2

    ‘Tis all

  25. highstick 02/03/2009 at 11:21 PM #

    Horsefeathers! HWSNBN was forced out for lack of performance. Making the tourney and making a quick exit is not acceptable at N C State! Clean program and making the tourney! Great, but mediocre!

    I asked a former athlete who ribs me constantly about Sid “would that type performance” be acceptable at UNC? Resounding absolutely not!

    I’m truly saddened that some of my own alumnus have been conned into that attitude!

    And “yes”, Obie and Fowler aren’t the only problem…It’s “those in power”. Obie and Fowler are just “paid flunkies”!! Now how do we overcome that?

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