RPI Update

One of the interesting things about graphing the RPI rank through the season is to see trends over time…but there are smaller details that also stand out. For instance, it took three wins to overcome the drop after the home loss to Seton Hall. It only took two wins to overcome the road loss to GT. Which brings us to the main point of this update, State has matched its highest RPI ranking of the season….heading into the biggest week of the season (so far).

UMd and Alabama both had big wins on Sat after stumbling mid-week. Thus State’s record vs the RPI Top-50 still stands at 4-4…just like it has for every update since Alabama broke into the Top-50. That will change for better or worse this week.

SEASON SUMMARY
21-5 (10-3)
		WINS		LOSSES
	Top			1	Duke
	25			10	Iowa
				24	North Carolina
	26-	33	G.  Washington	43	Seton Hall
	50	34	Boston College
		37	Alabama
		45	Maryland
	51-	7-0
	100
101-		2-1		139	Georgia Tech
200
201+		8-0
		No Opponent Ranked 51-60

 

HISTORICAL BUBBLE TRENDS
		ACC	NCAAT
RPI	TEAM	Record	Seed
1	Duke	12-0
17	NC State	10-3	IN
24	North Carolina	7-4
34	Boston College	8-4
45	Maryland	6-6
61	Florida State	6-6	Bubble
66	Clemson	4-8
71	Virginia	6-6
77	Miami	6-6
100	Wake Forest	1-10	OUT
119	Virginia Tech	3-9
139	Georgia Tech	3-10
Team names link to schedule & results
ACC Standings at kenpom.com

Even with the home win on Sat, Maryland has been generally trending downward since about 1/20. Maryland is 2-5 over the last several weeks and 5-7 since the cupcakes ran out at the first of Jan. That is not a good resume to have heading into Selection Sunday.

We haven’t really mentioned FSU at all this year…and it’s high time to point out that they have been trending upward all month. To get an at-large bid, FSU will have to overcome a number of obstacles (in addition to their remaining opponents):
– OOC SOS ranked #309
– 0-5 vs RPI Top-50

So we have two teams that need as many wins as possible, meeting in Tallahassee on Wed. The loser of this game will probably max out at an 8-8 conference record…and that probably won’t be good enough for either of these teams.