RPI Update

Going 2-0 at home, State avoided the type of RPI hit that we discussed last week. While home wins don’t count as much as road ones…they are all are good. State is in second-place in the ACC…both in the conference standings and in the RPI:

NC State’s RPI

I don’t think that many people expect Maryland to stay in the top-50, but right now State stands at 4-4 against the RPI top-50…with a little help from an old friend.

Alabama checks in this week at #50 after beating #20 LSU on Saturday. Looking over their results, Alabama appears to be up and down, beating #30 Kentucky and losing to #112 Ole Miss over the last month. They need to build a cushion over the next three games (#65 Vandy at home, #109 Miss. away, and #80 SC away) before they play Tenn at home.

We may be able to stop our bi-weekly check on GW (at least until they lose). Their victories over Xavier and Richmond moved them comfortably into the top-50….currently at #38. All of their remaining games come against teams ranked 100+, with the exception of a road game against St Joseph’s on 2/11.

Bubble Teams (and their fans) need to pull for GW in the A-10 conference tournament…so that they don’t have to compete against GW for an at-large bid. Other A-10 teams (Xavier, Temple, and maybe St Joseph’s) have a chance at an at-large bid, but will need to pick up the pace to earn a spot in the Big Dance.

ACC UPDATE

I’m trying out different table formats to see which one works out the best. Here’s my latest attempt at a conference summary with NCAAT status based on historical trends:

 

 

Conf

This Week’s

NCAAT

RPI

TEAM

Record

Schedule

Status

1

Duke

9-0

UNC

(A)

 

 

 

 

UMD

(A)

 

22

NC State

7-2

UM

(A)

 

 

 

 

GT

(A)

IN

26

North Carolina

5-3

Duke

(H)

 

 

 

UM

(A)

 

28

Boston College

5-4

WF

(A)

 

 

 

 

CU

(H)

 

41

Maryland

4-4

UVA

(H)

 

 

 

 

Duke

(H)

 

55

Virginia

5-4

UMD

(A)

 

 

 

 

VT

(H)

Bubble

61

Miami

6-3

NCSU

(H)

 

 

 

UNC

(H)

 

63

Clemson

3-6

VT

(H)

 

 

 

 

BC

(A)

 

74

Florida State

4-5

 

 

 

108

Wake Forest

1-8

 

 

OUT

129

Virginia Tech

2-7

 

 

145

Georgia Tech

2-7

 

 

 

ITEMS OF INTEREST

Duke

Did anyone else see SheWill run into the FSU shooter with no foul called just before Leonard Hamilton ripped off his coat in disgust? I couldn’t believe that they never showed a replay…and the announcers never discussed the play other than to comment on Hamilton getting upset.

I wish I knew more about HTML than just how to spell it. It would be interesting to select blatant missed calls on Duke, display a small clip of them on a website, and let people vote on the worst call made in Duke’s favor after each game. Wouldn’t it be funny to watch DBR try to argue away visual evidence instead of their usual hand-waving?

However, you have to give the Devil(s) their due….they are amassing an impressive record against a very tough schedule. Looking over the eight years worth of RPI info archived at kenpom.com, I found the following (detailed numbers at the end):

– Duke currently has a higher RPI value than any team in kenpom’s archives.
– Duke’s SOS is higher than any team that finished the year at #1 or #2.
– The gap between #1 and #2 is substantially higher this year than any other year.

If not for hassle involved with the road/home weighting issues, it would be interesting to figure out how many games Duke could lose and still stay #1 in the RPI rankings. However, my whole point boils down to just proving the obvious…Duke is a rock-solid lock for the NCAAT.

Kansas showed last year that stumbling down the stretch can throw away a #1 seed, even if you are still ranked #1 by the RPI. When you see how quickly Maryland is tanking, an
unexpected losing streak could easily send any of the other three teams
currently IN
to the NIT instead. Everyone needs to finish strong…some to make the tourney and some for seeding.

Boston College stopped their mini-slide with a road victory at VT.

UNC and Virginia continue to improve their ranking.

Miami went 3-0 in their last three games against the bottom of the ACC and moved onto the bubble. Things get harder as the Pack and the Heels head to Miami this week. Next week they get BC and Duke on the road.

Clemson is hanging on, but they need to make a move before it is too late.

RPI VALUES AT THE TOP

 

RPI

 

 

 

 

RPI r

Year

Rank

Team

W-L

SOS

RPI

1-2

2006

1

Duke

20-1

0.6369

0.7196

 

 

2

Villanova

17-2

0.6023    

0.6743

0.0453

2005

1

Kansas

23-6

0.6252

0.6693

 

 

2

Illinois

32-1

.5630   

0.6672

0.0021

2004

1

Duke

27-5

0.6073

0.6664

 

 

2

Kentucky

26-4

0.5995    

0.6663

0.0001

2003

1

Kentucky

29-3

0.5774

0.6596

 

 

2

Arizona

25-3

0.5675   

0.6489

0.0107

2002

1

Kansas

26-2

0.5768

0.6648

 

 

2

Maryland

26-3

0.5832    

0.6616

0.0032

2001

1

Duke

29-4

0.5924

0.6640

 

 

2

Stanford

26-2

0.5634   

0.6547

0.0093

2000

1

Cincinnati

28-3

0.5860

0.6653

 

 

2

Duke

27-4

0.5648   

0.6413

0.0240

1999

1

Duke

32-1

0.6013

0.6934

 

 

2

Michigan St.

28-4

0.5971    

0.6666

0.0268

Duke on 2/5/2006

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About VaWolf82

Engineer living in Central Va. and senior curmudgeon amongst SFN authors One wife, two kids, one dog, four vehicles on insurance, and four phones on cell plan...looking forward to empty nest status. Graduated 1982

General NCS Basketball

10 Responses to RPI Update

  1. RickJ 02/06/2006 at 11:05 AM #

    See below release from ACC office:

    Feb. 6, 2006

    ACC Coordinator of Men’s Basketball Officials John Clougherty today announced the suspension of the officiating crew that worked Saturday’s Florida State at Duke men’s basketball game. The technical foul that was called on Florida State’s Alexander Johnson in the second half of play should not have been assessed. The technical foul was Johnson’s fifth foul and resulted in his disqualification from the contest.

    Because of the incorrect assessment and handling of the dead ball technical foul situation, the officials that worked the contest will each be suspended for their next game.

  2. Mr. O 02/06/2006 at 11:12 AM #

    This was really a horrible call. The refs probably should have just no called the situation after they correctly assessed the intentional foul. The FSU guy fouled him pretty hard, so IMO the refs should have just let She-will’s reaction go. The FSU guy did absolutely nothing to get the tech. If they refs wanted to call a tech, then it should have only been on She-will.

  3. Sam '92 02/06/2006 at 11:42 AM #

    I think the Miami game will be really telling. Their RPI isn’t that high, but they are a good team, and on their home court. If we win there I’ll be impressed (not to mention happy).

  4. VaWolf82 02/06/2006 at 11:54 AM #

    The next two weeks will likely make or break Miami. If they are legit…then it will show up against State, UNC, Duke and BC. That’s one tough stretch of BB.

  5. Eric 02/06/2006 at 2:45 PM #

    Miami beats teams that don’t have experienced or super-talented guards. State has good guard play. I won’t be impressed if we beat them, I’m expecting it. The last team they lost to was….Virginia w/ Sean Singletary. Look for Bethel to have another big game.

  6. EZ 02/06/2006 at 2:46 PM #

    CNNSI has reported that the ACC suspended the referees of the Duke/FSU game for the technical foul.

    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2006/basketball/ncaa/02/06/ap.md.bkc.accofficialss.ap/index.html

  7. VaWolf82 02/06/2006 at 2:54 PM #

    I just saw today where the ACC had a meeting with the officials in the Duke-BC game and specifically discussed SheWill’s hack at the end of the game.

    http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/blog/index?name=katz_andy#20060203

  8. RickJ 02/06/2006 at 3:15 PM #

    The NC State women’s team is currently 13 – 9 overall and 3 – 6 in the league. I was wondering how many the team would have to win to get in good bubble position. Then I looked at Jerry Palm’s Women’s RPI and was amazed. Currently, the Wolfpack Women are 10th in the RPI with the number 1 ranked most difficult schedule. This is a heck of an illustration of how the RPI can work.

  9. classof63 02/06/2006 at 10:28 PM #

    suspend the refeeres hell. fire them!

  10. JeremyHyatt 02/07/2006 at 2:10 AM #

    any of those suspended ref’s the one that called 2 hanging on the rim calls on Cam Bennerman?!

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