Wilson Stakes Claim; Wake up this weekend

A lot has been (deservedly) made of the fantastic play of NC State’s red shirt freshman quarterback, Russell Wilson.

Wilson has performed better than almost anyone could have dreamed this season and has therefore promised to make the quarterback competition with freshman Mike Glennon interesting to watch in the future. (What a nice ‘problem’ to have).

Wilson is playing so well that our own BJD walked the line of heresy without raising much ire by making the following comment after the Wolfpack’s win over Duke this weekend:

Russell Wilson made plays with his legs and arm. He’s getting better at using his mobility to buy time for receivers to break open, rather than always choosing to tuck and run. You may consider this heresy, but I believe he’s playing better and smarter than Philip Rivers in his freshman year (of course, he didn’t have the luxury of a redshirt).

This week, The Big Tailgate’s Dan Mason penned a blog entry focusing on this past weekend’s win and Wilson’s strong play that can be read by clicking here.

While the Wolfpack will likely finish under .500, they guy who has brought considerable headaches and attention to defensive coordinators across the ACC footprint is Russell Wilson. Once again at Duke this past weekend, Wilson demonstrated why he continues to be a beacon of hope for Wolfpack fans. His poise in the pocket for a red-shirt freshman is terrific. He feels pressure very well and understands where his go to targets are at all times. Don’t get me wrong. Wolfpack receivers made some outstanding plays to go up and get some balls this past Saturday but Wilson knows what he has on the edges and the playmakers they are.

Additionally, the guys at ACCNow have their weekly podcast posted and Caulton Tudor alludes to the interesting quarterback situation next year right before he says “my gut tells me that NC State wins this game (Wake Forest) this weekend.”

It’s no secret that the Wolfpack still has a chance to lay exclusive claim to the elusive mythical ‘State Championship’ with wins over Wake Forest and Carolina over the next couple of weeks. Another link to ACCNow.

Mack Brown would be so proud the concept of the “state championship” lives on 11 years after his departure from UNC.

The Wolfpack is 2-0 against in-state opponents and suddenly inspired for the next two games against Wake Forest and UNC.

On a side note, if State played Duke’s schedule, the Pack would be bowl eligible by now. And if Duke played State’s schedule, the Devils would be 3-6.

The Wolfpack kicks-off at 3:30pm on ESPNU as a 3.5 point underdog to the Demon Deacons on Saturday. With the injuries that NC State has battled this season it is always important to check the Wolfpack’s depth chart before any game. Unfortunately, I didn’t see Julian Williams name among the offensive linemen.

Yet Another has a statistical look at the match-up.

Right away you can see that Wake’s strength this season is their defense. Their offense, typically strong under Grobe, has really been lacking in production this year, especially their running game. That’s a great sign for State fans, as that plays to the strength of the Pack defense.

Wake’s passing game is the stronger than their running attack but it’s still not a world-beating unit, 80th and 61st in yardage and passing efficiency, respectively. When compared to the Pack’s pass defense, though, they still stand apart in the rankings with a better than 20-spot advantage in both categories.

The good news is that as previously injured Pack players continue to work themselves back into playing shape, the effectiveness of the Pack pass defense should improve.

The question will be can State’s offense, that looked so good in the first half against Duke, have similar success against a very stout Wake defense. The disparity in the rankings seem to suggest no, but the one chink in the Deacon armor may be their pass defense. And with Russell Wilson continuing to improve each week passing the football, State may have opportunities passing the ball downfield.

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36 Responses to Wilson Stakes Claim; Wake up this weekend

  1. ncsukyle430 11/13/2008 at 3:03 AM #

    Ka-kow!

  2. Sw0rdf1sh 11/13/2008 at 6:27 AM #

    There goes the BOOM!

    Man I can’t wait to get back to CF. All those early games and then the big wait in between is killing me.

  3. Dr. BadgerPack 11/13/2008 at 7:00 AM #

    It will be interesting next year to see how much “on the job” training Glennon gets if he is behind Wilson. One thing about O’Brien I have observed is the backups do not gather much playing time (unless injuries necessitate of course). Ryan didn’t see many snaps at all until he secured the starters role.

    Now, whether that was by choice or due to lack of ability, I don’t know. I would guess Ryan didn’t magically become a world beater overnight though.

    Note to the overly-sensitive: this is an observation/question– not a criticism.

  4. GAWolf 11/13/2008 at 7:33 AM #

    The most overwhelming (and I believe telling) difference between NC State football the last couple of seasons and those that preceded them is that our play is getting better as the season progresses. As fans our hope and confidence is increasing over time… prior to TOB it was quite the opposite. I recognize it COULD be the difference of philosophy of the outward spin from within the two different staffs, but I believe the variance is much more tangible than that.

    We’re getting progressively better despite some major unforeseen setbacks. That’s “improvement” at it’s very core.

    I’m still very much a realist (to some that means a negative fan) and I don’t yet believe it’s possible for us to win out and become bowl eligible; however, I am much more positive about our distant future than I have been in a long, long time. There’s tons of value in that and the credit goes to TOB and his staff and of course the players who believe in them.

  5. Daily Update 11/13/2008 at 8:19 AM #

    Gawolf: I totally agree. About the only games late season where we haven’t seen the “improvement” were Wake on the road and Maryland at home to end the season last year. But in those games we were still playing without a QB, so hopefully that explains our issues in those games.

    There is no doubt that beating Wake Forest would be a big win for us this Saturday.

  6. BJD95 11/13/2008 at 8:48 AM #

    I think we can at least stay in this game, and an upset is a realistic possibility.

    I will go one step further on Wilson – anyone who doesn’t vote Wilson for first or second team all-ACC isn’t watching the games and should have their voting privileges revoked.

  7. Trip 11/13/2008 at 8:57 AM #

    I honestly have no clue how the coaching staff tried to get us to believe that DE or Beck could hold a candle to RW during the summer.

  8. VaWolf82 11/13/2008 at 8:59 AM #

    Right away you can see that Wake’s strength this season is their defense. Their offense, typically strong under Grobe, has really been lacking in production this year

    I’m no expert on WF, so it’s always nice when your gut instincts get supported. This may be the best defense that Grobe has had in Winston, but their offense didn’t look as effective the few times that I’ve seen them play.

    Has anyone kept up with the status of their kicker (Swank?)? WF has a relatively small margin of error and he has made the difference in alot of games over his career.

  9. thebigwood 11/13/2008 at 9:03 AM #

    Trip, I always got the impression that the coaches were publicly saying the QB race was close to keep them motivated, but privately RW was always the guy.

    VA, I think I read on the ESPN-ACC blog that Swank was out, maybe for the season.

    http://myespn.go.com/blogs/acc/0-3-97/ACC-s-internal-affairs–Week-12.html

  10. the_phisherman 11/13/2008 at 9:05 AM #

    Could the statistical advantage of our pass defense have anything to due with our ineptitude stopping the run?

  11. Classof89 11/13/2008 at 9:50 AM #

    Swank singlehandedly beat us in C-F two years ago, so his absence will be a huge factor.

    This program has too much pride (I hope) to roll over to a favored Wake team in our own house. I will be shocked if we don’t play well…

  12. wufpup76 11/13/2008 at 9:59 AM #

    I’m feeling a victory …

  13. BJD95 11/13/2008 at 10:12 AM #

    Here’s the key – Wake has always maxed out offensively, both with long FGs and controlling field position. Without Swank, they can’t do it – and against decent teams, they now have to win with defense.

    Wake’s offense typically stalls out around the 30-35 yard line. Swank gives them a very good shot at 3 points, but Popham’s range is at least 10 yards less (not to mention the accuracy dropoff). This is a huge disadvantage.

    Swank is also a much better punter than Popham, and Wake has also made their living on winning the field position game. Now, they need an overwhelming defensive effort to accomplish this goal. The margin of error is much smaller.

  14. Classof89 11/13/2008 at 10:17 AM #

    Unfortunately, the positive prediction from Dan Mason is probably the kiss of death. Isn’t he the guy from the ill-fated morning show on 99.9 that is being cancelled (due, apparently, to their show rating slightly lower than “static” in the last Arbitron reports)

  15. PacknSack 11/13/2008 at 11:27 AM #

    Aaron Curry is a BEAST. The key to offensive success will be keeping him away from Wilson and making sure the majority of his tackles are on the Wake side of the line of scrimmage.

  16. BoKnowsNCS71 11/13/2008 at 11:43 AM #

    That guy Swank won’t kick 5 field goals this time to beat us this time. Wake has a good defense and if we can score some we can beat the Deacs.

  17. Cosmo96 11/13/2008 at 11:47 AM #

    I haven’t seen much discussion on this, but does anyone else think that next season may likely be Russell’s last under center for us? He’ll certainly be the incumbent next year for us, but after that, he’ll be eligible to go back into the baseball draft. I have a feeling that he jumps at the opportunity after next year. If that happened now, it would be devastating, but after another year, we may be able to compensate for his absence.

    I think the team overall will be improved by then, so it doesn’t necessarily have to be a major setback, providing that Glennon can live up to his billing, and the team is able to adapt to a different style of QB. I know we’ve been through rough quarterback transitions in the recent past, but I have faith in this coaching staff to make the best of it.

    For now, he’s definitely our MVP, and I think he’s a lock for ACC ROY. Of course, I could be wrong about his decision, and sticks around for three more years. Either way, I think he’s really done a lot to set us up for a bright future.

  18. BJD95 11/13/2008 at 11:53 AM #

    ^ Yes. I think it’s at least 50% likely that Wilson goes the MLB route after his 3rd baseball season.

    Something to be happy about – I think NC State will have the TWO best QBs in the ACC next season. How cool is that?

  19. TomCat 11/13/2008 at 12:19 PM #

    There are – no – moral victories.

  20. CStanley 11/13/2008 at 12:23 PM #

    All of the advantages that Wake has exploited against us in the past couple of seasons are not there this year. I just have this feeling we win this game. I have watched Wake this year, and I certainly have not come away with the overwhelming sense that they would kick our ass as I have in years past. We match up much better this year.

    The comment from ACCnow regarding Dook being 3-6 with our schedule…I disagree. I don’t see anyone other than W&M that they would have beaten from our schedule. Not even EZU.

  21. redfred2 11/13/2008 at 12:32 PM #

    “Note to the overly-sensitive: this is an observation/question– not a criticism.”

    Who is overly-sensitive? Nobody around here is “overly-sensitive” that I know of anyway. I don’t really appreciate that.

  22. basspacker812 11/13/2008 at 12:32 PM #

    Speaking Wilson jumping from football to all baseball next season, anyone heard for sure that Nate Irving is gonna jump into the NFL draft after this season? I think the N&O is reporting Irving is weighing his options to be done.

    I’m probably like most here, tired of getting robbed of my excitement for the future of NCSU sports then to see it dashed by slick agents swaying guys to leave early. Guess it stands out more in basketball’s one & done, but if Irving leaves, then football is catching up. I know its hard to deny a kid the chance of playing for millions, but its ruining college sports.

    Looks like we the fan need to install a “fan hardship” clause in our LTR and rising tix cost, the “Leave for Dough/Pay US to Go” clause.

  23. BoKnowsNCS71 11/13/2008 at 12:48 PM #
  24. Alpha Wolf 11/13/2008 at 12:48 PM #

    “I’m probably like most here, tired of getting robbed of my excitement for the future of NCSU sports then to see it dashed by slick agents swaying guys to leave early.”

    Yes, it does get tiring, and not to use the tired cliche, but it happens to everyone. Bottom line is to get enough good guys so that each position takes on the look of a Pez dispenser. When one pops out, another one pops up to take its place.

    Easier said than done, to be sure, especially when you are in the position of program building as is NC State. It can happen, however, and hopefully over the next couple of seasons, we’ll see the “program” part of NC State football take on that characteristic.

    I guess the moral victory here is that when kids leave to go to the NFL, they are showing recruits that NC State can showcase their talents such that if they have what it takes, they can play on Sundays.

  25. BJD95 11/13/2008 at 12:57 PM #

    Irving is really undersized for an NFL linebacker, and there would also be durability concerns. His best-case scenario would be what happened to Tulloch (4th round pick), and I think he would have stayed if Amato wasn’t the coach. Most guys don’t leave early to be a Day 2 project, unless they really hate school.

    If Irving can stay healthy all year and has a dominant performance (say, conference defensive POY), then maybe his stock goes high enough to leave early.

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